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はてなキーワード: betweenとは

2021-03-20

実験と○○が一致しなかった場合言い訳英文

http://www.buturigaku.net/main02/Report/Reports046.html

要するに論文なんて実験結果と○○結果を比べて一致したとかしなかったとか論じるだけの代物。合わなかったときはそれっぽい理由を述べる。検証は将来のタスクとして先送りできる。審査官が先送りできないよぉ。直ちに検証しろやって言ったら、まあほかの学術誌に投稿しなおしだわなぁ。

どうせオリジナリティとか意義は、この種の実験は当該系では世界初であるとか今まで行われたことがないで担保するんだから

一致しなかったとき言い訳する必要があり、ゴニョニョ英文日本人には。。

日本語ゴニョニョ言い訳するのに適しているのでなんぼでもパターンが生み出せるが、英語場合はどうなんだろう?なんか気を使うというか負荷が大きいというかイナーシャがでかいというか。

原稿執筆におけるクリティカルパスになってるような気がする。

こういう時に日本人が好むパターン

実験結果と○○結果の不一致の要因としては現段階では分からないが、。。。。。。というのが理由として考えられる

だが、これを英訳するよりは、もっとバーッと

The difference between experiment and ○○ may stem (come) from several sources such as ....

とでもすればいいのか?学生実験じゃないので実験ミスとか結果がおかしいとか言っちゃうパンドラの箱開梱しちゃう

The looser agreement with the experiment is probably related to ....

2021-01-11

anond:20210111172953

草生える

Four years after the Fukushima accident, TC screening data from the first and second round (up to December 2014) were compared with the Japanese nationwide annual TC incidence, and with the incidence in one area of Fukushima prefecture selected as reference (Tsuda et al., 2016). The authors reported that the observed number of TCs was substantially higher than the expected number based on national and regional incidence data, and concluded that this increase could be attributed to ionizing radiation exposure from the accident. This ecological study has been strongly criticized by scientists around the world because of serious methodology limitations; further, the study conclusions are not supported by the results (Davis, 2016, Jorgensen, 2016, Korblein, 2016, Shibata, 2016, Suzuki, 2016, Takahashi et al., 2016, Takamura, 2016, Wakeford et al., 2016). Limitations of ecological study design are well-known, although the authors did not acknowledge the issue of ecologic fallacy. Another criticism was that the data from the Fukushima screening program are not directly comparable with the cancer registry data from the rest of Japan where systematic advanced ultrasound technology is not used to detect cases. The authors of these criticisms suggested that though the increased TC number could be associated with the exposure from radioactive fallout, a more plausible conclusion would be that the screening program is finding an anticipated increase in TC detection across the Fukushima prefecture. Indeed, Tsuda and colleagues did not consider the latent properties of TC, nor the fact that a prevalent cancer detected by screening might have had first preclinical manifestations of abnormality before the nuclear accident.Thereafter, several researchers have analysed the relationship between radiation exposure (with different estimated exposure levels, mostly using an external dose) and TC prevalence and incidence in residents aged ≤18 years in the Fukushima prefecture at time of the disaster (Kato, 2019, Nakaya et al., 2018, Ohira et al., 2019a, Ohira et al., 2020, Ohira et al., 2019b, Ohira et al., 2016, Ohira et al., 2018, Suzuki et al., 2016, Toki et al., 2020, Yamamoto et al., 2019), but no radiation-related risks have been demonstrated to date.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412020321851

ちなみにこの分野の雑誌にはあまり詳しくないけど、IF3.5で最高峰なの?

ちなみに自分引用した雑誌は7.9だった。

2021-01-03

アフガニスタンの話

アフガニスタンというと、日本では人道的支援ODA政府開発援助)の話が中心で、最近の情勢がどうなっているかという報道ほとんどない。なのでちょっと書いてみたい。


もうずいぶん昔の話だが、2001年9月11日ニューヨーク同時多発テロがあった直後、アメリカアフガニスタンに侵攻してタリバンパキスタンに追いやったのだった。

タリバンとはパキスタンのマドラサイスラム学校)発の運動で、1990年代末にはアフガニスタンを掌握していた。

なぜアメリカタリバンと戦ったかというと、アルカイダ同時多発テロを主導)の中心人物だったウサーマ・ビン・ラディン2011年パキスタン殺害)を、タリバンがかくまっていたからだった。当時のブッシュ政権テロとの戦い(The War on Terror)を標ぼうして、それに参加しない国は敵として侵攻もやむなしという国防戦略をとっていた。NATO加盟国から軍隊アフガニスタンに行ってタリバン戦争をしていた。


それから19年経ってどうなったか

タリバンは滅びていない。それどころかアフガニスタン国内で着実に支配を拡げつつある。一方、アメリカを中心とするNATO軍は今年(2021年)の5月までに完全撤退を目指している。(日本ではあまり報道されないだけで、)この間ずっと戦争は続いていた。

アメリカにとってアフガニスタンでの戦争は史上最長の戦争になったが、負けたという見方が強まっている。戦費の負担アメリカにとってずっと重荷だった。オバマ大統領2014年に多くのアメリカ軍を撤退させたが、完全撤退にはならなかった。アフガニスタン軍を育てて、アフガニスタン人に自分たちタリバンと戦ってもらおうというもくろみだったのだが、これはあまりうまく行っていない。毎年アメリカアフガニスタン軍の費用の4分の3(50億ドルぐらい)を注ぎ込んでやらないと戦えないからだ。

トランプ大統領は去年の2月末にタリバンとの和平交渉をまとめたことになっている。ことになっている、というのは、その内容がかなり怪しいからだ。アフガニスタン国土アメリカとその同盟国(allies)の安全を脅かす活動に使わないこと、タリバンと現アフガニスタン政府が和平交渉を行うこと、をタリバン誓約させるかわりに、アメリカは今後一切アフガニスタン国内問題に介入しないこととしている。

これは実質的に逃げを打っているのであって、NATO軍が去った後、これまでの努力は水泡に帰してタリバンアフガニスタン支配するのではないかという見方が強まっている。


アメリカタリバンがまとめた合意にしたがって、去年の秋からカタールドーハアフガニスタン政府ととタリバンの和平交渉が続いていた。⁠今月の5日からこの交渉は再開する予定だ。


2001年末にパキスタンへ逃げた当時のタリバンは完全に弱体化していたが、パキスタンイラン支援のおかげで今はプロ軍事組織に成長していて、最近構成員は6万人くらいいるといわれている。

和平交渉を行っている間も休戦にはならず、タリバンアフガニスタン国内毎日のように人を殺しまくっている。以前は政府や軍の高官をターゲットにしていたが、最近では一般人女性活動家を含む)を中心に襲っている。タリバン政権中枢で力を持ったときに歯向かいそうな人間をあらかじめ殺しているといわれている。


タリバンイスラム法の厳格な運用を目指している。現在タリバン実効支配している地域ではだれもタリバン文句を言えないそうだ。

女性基本的に家を出ることはできず、外出の必要があれば親族男性が付き添わなくてはいけない。もちろん学校に行くこともできない。


現在政権下では女性社会進出が進んで、労働人口の5分の1が女性になったらしい。タリバン政権を取ればすべてが昔に逆戻りになるのでアフガニスタン女性は脅威を感じているそうだ。

だがこの数年で現政権交渉力をかなり失い、タリバンは力を伸ばしている。

今月再開される交渉の結果、タリバンアフガニスタンのあり方を大きく変えるか、交渉決裂で内戦が起こる可能性がまことしやかに議論されている。


日本はこれまで開発援助でアフガニスタン支援してきた。これは基本的親米の現アフガニスタン政府とのつきあいだ。テロとの戦いでは基本的アメリカ同調してきた。だが今回のアフガニスタン和平交渉の結果、タリバンメンバー政権中枢に入ることになれば、これまで実質的に「テロリスト」扱いしてきたタリバン相手日本国民の税金を原資とした開発援助が使われるという事態にもなりうる。

ちなみに、アメリカタリバンと締結した合意では、アメリカの「同盟国」がどの国かは具体的に書いていない。これは安保条約適用対象日本も含まれるのかどうかはよくわからない。そうだろうと日本人が勝手に思っているだけの可能性もある。



ソース、もし興味があれば

Abed, F. and Gibbons, T. (2021) ‘Targeted Killings Are Terrorizing Afghans. And No One Is Claiming Them.’, The New York Times, 2 January. Available at: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/02/world/asia/afghanistan-targeted-killings.html.

Afghan, S. (2020) Living with the Taleban (1): Local experiences in Andar district, Ghazni province , Afghanistan Analysts Network. Available at: https://www.afghanistan-analysts.org/en/reports/war-and-peace/living-with-the-taleban-1-local-experiences-in-andar-district-ghazni-province/ .

Al Jazeera (2020a) Afghan gov’t, Taliban announce breakthrough deal in peace talks, Al Jazeera. Available at: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/12/2/afghan-govt-taliban-announce-breakthrough-deal-in-peace-talks.

Al Jazeera (2020b) ‘Qatar to host next round of Afghan gov’t-Taliban talks: Official’, Al Jazeera, 27 December. Available at: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/12/27/qatar-to-host-next-round-of-afghan-govt-taliban-talks-official.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan (2020a) Japan-Afghanistan Foreign Minister’s Telephone Talk, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan. Available at: https://www.mofa.go.jp/press/release/press3e_000133.html.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan (2020b) Video message by Foreign Minister Motegi at the 2020 Afghanistan Conference in Geneva, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan. Available at: https://www.mofa.go.jp/press/release/press6e_000250.html.

Thomas, C. (2020) Afghanistan: Background and U.S. Policy: In Brief. Washington, D.C. Available at: https://fas.org/sgp/crs/row/R45122.pdf.

U.S. Department of State (2020) Agreement for Bringing Peace to Afghanistan between the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan which is not recognized by the United Statesas a state and is known as the Taliban and the United States of America. Available at: https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Agreement-For-Bringing-Peace-to-Afghanistan-02.29.20.pdf.

Walt, S. M. (2019) We Lost the War in Afghanistan. Get Over It., Foreign Policy. Available at: https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/09/11/we-lost-the-war-in-afghanistan-get-over-it/ .

2020-10-08

ブロックチェーンとは何か。

ブロックチェーン暗号通貨、Web3.0、Dweb というのはここ数年、そしてこれからバズワードであるようだ。

ここ一週間ぐらいだろうか。マイナンバーブロックチェーンを導入しようとしている事業に関して色々な議論が発生しているようである。例によって議論に向かない Twitter 上で発生している。というか何が議論の中心になっているのかイマイチよく分からない。ただ雑然と荒れているという感覚がある。

私は技術歴史文化といった面からブロックチェーン暗号通貨に対して知識がなく、学び始めたのはここ一ヶ月と言ってもいいだろう。学ぶ、といっても転がっている日本語一般的メディア記事を気が向いたときに読み散らかすぐらいである。真に技術的なことは何一つ分からない。暗号通貨Bitcoin とEthereum しか知らないし所持しているのはたまたま貰った僅かな ETH しかない。金銭的に貧しい多摩川に転がっている石くらいどこにでもいる17歳JKである。と逃げの文言を置いておく。

発端

議論の発端はここらへんからだろうか。

加納裕三 (Yuzo Kano)(@YuzoKano

囲み取材で数十秒話したこと記事になっているので、正確に伝わって無さそうです。

マイナンバーカードをいずれカード不要にしてスマホインストールできるようにしたい

・(ただ法改正必要)

・その前にそもそも、普及のためマイナンバーカードの発行総数を増やす必要がある

という趣旨かと。

https://twitter.com/YuzoKano/status/1312245723048550401

加納氏のこの時期のタイムラインから現在に向けて遡れば様々な第三者感想や疑問を得ることができるだろう。これらに纏めて答えているのが以下の記事である

ブロックチェーンの優位性①疎結合加納裕三/Yuzo Kano

https://blog.blockchain.bitflyer.com/n/n4b45329e308c

ブロックチェーンの優位性②改ざん耐性|加納裕三/Yuzo Kano

ttps://blog.blockchain.bitflyer.com/n/naa0126a024d5

加納氏とは一体何者なのかは以下を参照。

東京大学大学院工学研究科修了。ゴールドマン・サックス証券会社入社し、エンジニアとして決済システムの開発、その後デリバティブ転換社債トレーディング業務従事

2014年1月株式会社bitFlyerを共同創業し、2019年5月株式会社bitFlyer BlockchainCEO就任

bitFlyer創業以降、法改正に関する提言自主規制ルール策定等に尽力し、仮想通貨交換業業界の発展に貢献。

日本ブロックチェーン協会代表理事ISO / TC307国内審議委員会委員、官民データ活用推進基本計画実行委員会委員

2018年G7雇用イノベーション大臣会合2019年V20 VASPサミットに出席。

ttps://finsum.jp/ja/2019/speakers/recQMoKK5nD9yb8Ht/profile/

ブロックチェーン定義

ブロックチェーンを語るうえで何が重要かというと、その言葉定義である議論に参加している人が同じ言葉を使っているのに、各人の言葉に対する定義が異なっていると、言葉理解できるが内容が理解できないといった状況に陥ってしまう。このことは実生活でも頻繁に起こっているように思えるが、Twitter という短文が好まれプラットフォームでは著しくないがしろにされ不毛な議論を生む原因になっている。

加納氏が代表JBA日本ブロックチェーン協会)に依ると、ブロックチェーン定義は以下の内容である

ブロックチェーン定義

1)「ビザンチン障害を含む不特定多数ノードを用い、時間の経過とともにその時点の合意が覆る確率が0へ収束するプロトコル、またはその実装ブロックチェーンと呼ぶ。」

2)「電子署名ハッシュポインタ使用改竄検出が容易なデータ構造を持ち、且つ、当該データネットワーク上に分散する多数のノードに保持させることで、高可用性及びデータ同一性等を実現する技術を広義のブロックチェーンと呼ぶ。」

定義策定アプローチ

まず、Satoshi Nakamoto論文およびその実装であるビットコインブロックチェーンオリジナルブロックチェーン(以下「オリジナル」)として強く意識しています

狭義のブロックチェーン(定義1)は、オリジナル意識し、それが備える本質的で不可分な特徴を捉え、言語化しました。

広義のブロックチェーン(定義2)は、昨今〜今後の技術の展開を鑑み、オリジナルが備える特徴であっても、別の実装方式や別の目的への展開などにおいて、置換や変化が行われていく広がりを許容しながらも、特徴を捉えられるよう、言語化しました。

http://jba-web.jp/archives/2011003blockchain_definition

総務省のページも見つけたが JBA定義するものを基礎としている。

ttps://www.soumu.go.jp/johotsusintokei/whitepaper/ja/h30/html/nd133310.html

私が疑問と漠然としたモヤモヤ感を抱くのは、最近一般層で使われているブロックチェーン定義には「信頼できる第三者不要である」という点が抜け落ちているように思われることだ。非中央集権SNS暮らし脱中央集権を推進したい私にはこの点が"ブロックチェーン"の一番重要な点であると思うが、JBA第一定義にはこの点が記載されている。不特定多数へのインセンティブによって不特定多数による合意形成している。これによって「信頼できる第三者不要である」は満たされている。

では ISO定義を見てみる。

blockchain (3.6)

distributed ledger with confirmed blocks organized in an append-only, sequential chain using cryptographic links

Note: Blockchains are designed to be tamper resistant and to create final, definitive and immutable ledger records.

distributed ledger (3.22)

ledger that is shared across a set of DLT nodes and synchronized between the DLT nodes using a consensus mechanism

Note: A distributed ledger is designed to be tamper resistant, append-only and immutable containing confirmed and validated transactions.

https://www.iso.org/obp/ui/#iso:std:iso:22739

ISO定義によれば、ブロックチェーンは、暗号化リンク使用した一連の鎖で、追記のみで構成された確認済みブロックからなる分散台帳を指す。改ざんに強く、最終的で確定的で不変の台帳記録を作成するように設計されている。分散台帳は、一連の DTL(分散台帳技術ノードで共有され、合意メカニズム使用して DTL ノード間で同期される台帳である確認された有効トランザクションを含む全てが、改ざん耐性、追記のみの不変性を持つように設計されている。

比較

さて、加納氏の投稿やその他の加納氏に批判的/賛同的な人たちの反応を見ても、彼らの言っている内容がブロックチェーン定義を満たすものなのかいまいち分からなかった。

加納裕三 (Yuzo Kano)(@YuzoKano

ビザンチン耐性(BFT)

改ざん耐性

・高可用性(単一障害店の排除

アドレス(~=公開鍵)による疎結合の容易さ

エンタープライズ間でのデータ共有の容易さ

私はブロックチェーンの主な利点はこの5つ(ただし5つにだけではない)だと考えています。これをここでは5大利点と呼びます

なおかつ、この5大利点を概ね満たしているものブロックチェーンと呼んでいます(ただしブロックチェーンと呼んでいるものは、すべてこの定義だとは言ってない。かつ、ブロックチェーンの厳密な定義はこれではない。)

https://twitter.com/YuzoKano/status/1313247738503426048

ttps://twitter.com/YuzoKano/status/1313248174430019584

なぜ前提として厳密な定義加納氏の言葉説明せずに、勝手加納氏が定義した内容を”ブロックチェーンである”と語っているのか理解に苦しむが、加納氏の説明したい"プライベートブロックチェーン"を ISO定義を基に判断すると、


"パブリックブロックチェーン"で考えると


加納氏の上記の2つの投稿からは、"プライベートブロックチェーン"と"パブリックブロックチェーン"のどちらを指しているのか不鮮明ではあるが、note記事では"プライベートブロックチェーン"を想定している、と明記されており、議論の発端となったマイナンバーブロックチェーンに関しても"プライベートブロックチェーン"を指していると思われる。5大利点を満たす"プライベートブロックチェーン"は存在しないのでは…。

面白い記事

3つ面白い記事をみつけた。

"一方で、誤解と批判を恐れずに書けば、ブロックチェーンBitcoin論文に端を発するものであるとするならば、いわゆるプラベートブロックチェーンやコンソーシアムブロックチェーンと呼ばれているものは、ブロックチェーンと呼ぶのをやめて、「タイムスタンプ2.0」のような別の言葉を使うことも考えてはどうだろうか。それは、これらの技術が、リンクトークンタイムスタンプデータ構造の上に、決められたノードによる合意アルゴリズムを加え、記録した情報に対するビジネスロジックに応じた情報処理を加えたものであるからだ。根っこの技術は、同じHaberらによるタイムスタンプを元にしているものの、ブロックチェーンの発端となったBitcoin論文が目指した「信頼できる第三者機関を不要にする」という方向とは別の方向の進化をしているもので、その別の2つの方向のものを同一の枠で扱うことには無理があり、理解や発展を考える上で両方にとって弊害がある。"

タイムスタンプの再発見と「いわゆるブロックチェーン

https://link.medium.com/TgeOXv8Dlab

DLTブロックチェーン、DAGの違い

https://link.medium.com/4pz5oNlHpab

ビットコインじゃなくて、ブロックチェーンに興味がある」という人に教えたい「ブロックチェーン」の語源の話

https://www.coindeskjapan.com/10953/

これらの記事を読むと、そもそもブロックチェーンと呼ばれるものにおいてパブリックではないものは、なんびとも信用しない状況において根本的に非改ざん性を保障することができないのではないかと感じる。"パブリックブロックチェーン"こそがブロックチェーンであり、他のものブロックチェーンから発展してきた技術を使ったブロックチェーン定義を満たさな分散台帳なのではないか

終わりに

加納氏に関して覚えておきたいことは、彼は bitFlyerCEO であり bitFlyermiyabi という"コンソーシアム・プライベートブロックチェーン"を開発しているという点だ。当然行政に対して彼がブロックチェーン推しているのはこれを売り込むためなのであろう。これが厳密にブロックチェーンなのかは置いておいて、このプロダクト自体は素晴らしい取り組みだと私は感じる。デジタル化によって今までの煩雑手続き簡単になる可能性は大いにあるし、公的文書の保存にも役にたつ。黒塗り秘匿文書を撲滅しろ

ただ、ブロックチェーンをただの空虚バズワードとして扱うのではなく、厳密な定義の上で使うのは大事なことだ。今回の件は、果たして全てにおいて加納氏が良くない、と言えるのだろうか。言葉というのは多数が使うことによって定義が決まる。時代が変われば定義が変わってしまうこともある。ブロックチェーンという言葉を便利な魔法言葉にしてしまったのは誰だろう。本質を見極めない我々だ。AI 搭載!!といたるところで見る言葉だが、何をもって AI と呼んでいるのか不思議になる。実際のところ今まで"システム"と呼んでいたものなのに。日々の中で言葉をしっかりと見つめ直すのは大事だ。

編集後記

この記事は、そもそもブロックチェーンとは何か、という個人的な疑問をまとめたものであり、加納氏を批判する意図は無かったわけで、最後の締めはやんわりとしたかった。だが、加納氏は立場的には日本ブロックチェーン協会会長で、言葉定義する立場である言葉定義した側がこの有様というのは遺憾である日本行政デジタル化の推進は頑張って欲しい。

URL を貼りすぎたせいなのか投稿できなかったので一部表記を削った。

2020-08-13

anond:20200512102843

AMIDA-KUJIってなんだ?って思って検索

Ghost Leg (Chinese: 畫鬼腳), known in Japan as Amidakuji (阿弥陀籤, "Amida lottery", so named because the paper was folded into a fan shape resembling Amida's halo[1]) or in Korea as Sadaritagi (사다리타기, literally "ladder climbing")

ついでに1つ賢くなった

The 1981 arcade game Amidar programmed by Konami and published by Stern used the same lattice as a maze. The game even took its name from Amidakuji and most of the enemy movement conformed to the lot drawing game's rules

An early Sega Master System game called Psycho Fox uses the mechanics of an Amidakuji board as a means to bet a bag of coins on a chance at a prize at the top of the screen. Later Sega Genesis games based on the same game concept DecapAttack and its Japanese predecessor "Magical Hat no Buttobi Tabo! Daibōken" follow the same game mechanics, including the Amidakuji bonus levels.

Super Mario Land 2: 6 Golden Coins features an Amidakuji-style bonus game that rewards the player with a power-up. New Super Mario Bros. and Wario: Master of Disguise feature an Amidakuji-style minigame in which the player uses the stylus to trace lines that will lead the character down the right path.

In Mario Party there is a mini game where one of the four players pours money into an Amidakuji made out of pipes. The goal is to try to choose the path leading to the character controlled by the player.

The BoSpider in Mega Man X and Maverick Hunter X descends onto the player via an Amidakuji path.

In Super Monkey Ball 2, there is a level in the Advanced-Extra difficulty named "Amida Lot" (Advanced-EX 7) that features a floor resembling an Amidakuji board, which bumper travels around the way and may knock off the player if they happen to hit them. The goal only travels through one of the vertical lines and the player must reach the goal using the ghost legs while avoiding the bumpers to not fall out.

In WarioWare, Inc.: Mega Microgames!, the microgame "Noodle Cup" features Amidakuji-style gameplay.

Azalea Gym in Pokémon HeartGold and SoulSilver was redesigned with an Amidakuji-based system of carts to cross. The correct choices lead to the gym leader; the wrong ones lead to other trainers to fight.

Phantasy Star Online 2 uses the principle of Amidakuji for a randomly appearing bomb-defusing minigame. One must trace an Amidakuji path around each bomb to determine which button defuses it; incorrect selections knock players away for a few seconds, wasting time.

In the manga Liar Game (vol 17), an Amidakuji is used for determinate the rank of each participant to the penultimate stage of the game.

In the Japanese drama Don Quixote (episode 10), the character Shirota (Shota Matsuda) uses Amidakuji to help decide between candidate families for an adoption.

In the anime Cardcaptor Sakura (episode 41), the character Kaho Mizuki, Sakura's teacher, uses Amidakuji in order to choose which student will play each role in a certain school play.

In the anime Magic Kyun Renassiance (episode 10), the characters used Amidakuji to determine which rooms they'd get while at the villa after the Art Session.

The Japanese band "SCANDAL" released "A.M.D.K.J." (January 2020) and music video— https://www.scandal-heaven.com/t14860-a-m-d-k-j-lyrics

日本阿弥陀婆好きすぎ問題

2020-07-27

anond:20200727115118

増田のいうサイコパスとは?

答えないかも知らんから先に書いておくけどこういう思い込み

自己肯定感(自分評価) に回しても問題ないと違う?ダメだとしたらなんでん?

自分肯定しない理由を探しているだけと違うか?

 

2019-02-20 (anond:20190220120144)

差別偏見増長になるので積極開示しないだけで、犯罪者になりやすい傾向、犯罪者になりやすい生育環境 ってのはある

 

例えば、発達障がい、中でもアスペCU特性(Callous-Unemotional Traits:無感覚感情的特徴)など

異常に親権の強い日本でも検査などは一応やってはい

ただ強制じゃないので、親の意識が相当高くないと、大学国立病院に足を運ぼうとはならないと思う

そもそも、親がこれだけ意識が高ければ、子が犯罪者になるとは考えにくい

犯罪者環境(特に親)+生まれつきの性質から

 

なお、犯罪者にならないサイコパス成功したサイコパスといい、

CEO外科医弁護士警察官シェフ などに多いそう

 

なおワイはサイコパス心拍数が低いのは顕著な傾向だと無批判に思ってきたが(例えばこういうの↓)

Am I a psychopath? You asked Googlehere’s the answer

If you’re not an athlete, and your heart rate is lower than average, you may be interested to discover that bradycardia, as it’s known, is more strongly correlated with psychopathy than smoking is with lung cancer.

That doesn’t mean everyone with a slow heart rate is a psychopath, but a very high percentage of psychopaths have slow heart rates.Why on earth would that be the case?

It turns out that there are a number of physiological traits strongly linked to psychopathy, including tell-tale patterns of activation in the brain and autonomic nervous system.

One theory is that psychopaths inherit a set of genes that make it harder to experience fear or excitement.

 

適当

Googleサイコパス のことを聞いてみた結果

心拍数が低い=サイコパスではないが、アスリートでもないのに心拍数が低いのはサイコパスの傾向が高いよ

脳と自律神経の働き方に特徴があり、恐怖や興奮などの刺激が感じにくいのではと考えられているよ

今日、改めてググってみたら、

今までの研究サンプル数が少ないのでやり直してみたら、
サイコパス特別心拍数が低い とか無かったよ
ってあったわ

ほえ〜 ↓

Resting heart rate and psychopathy: Findings from the Add Health Survey

引用元https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/205005v3


Despite the prior linkages of low resting heart rate to antisocial behavior broadly defined, less work has been done examining possible associations between heart rate to psychopathic traits.

(中略)

No significant relationship between heart rate and psychopathic traits, or heart rate and a measure of cold heartedness, was found after controlling for age, sex, and race.

2020-07-21

[][][][]

Turing.jl vs Stan in Julia

I'm having a few days off so I want to spend the time learning Julia. I'm working mostly in R and Python, and my work involved a lot of Bayesian stuffs which I usually use either Stan or PyMC3 for. Recently I've been playing around with Julia, and I've heard a lot of praises for Turing.jl for probabilistic programming. I wonder if anyone here ever used it? What are some pros and cons against, say, Stan or PyMC3?

Turing.jl dev here. There are various differences between Turing, Stan and PyMC. Most importantly, Turing is only adding a thin layer to your Julia code, and you can, therefore, use any Julia code or library that exists in your models. This means you can easily use NN, the GPU, ODEs and whatever you like. By doing so, Turing is also more easily hackable. Another big difference is that Turing allows you to combine samplers and provides inference algorithms for continuous and discrete RVs. For the continuous case, we have an excellent implementation of Stans HMC and other variants, provided in a library that also can be used independently. The support for discrete RVs is mostly using particle Gibbs, but we are working on a JAGS style sampler atm. That said, Turing is much younger than the other PPLs. We probably lack specific tools, or you might run in some corner cases we didn’t think of, but we are working hard on getting bugs fixed ASAP and respond to questions quickly.

2020-04-29

Term of Use

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2020-04-22

anond:20200422100625

記事読めずに勝手数字こねくりまわして都合のいい結論だしてんのはおまえな

Given the study's estimate of 48,000 to 81,000 infections in early Apriland a three-week lag from infection to death – the 100 deaths suggest that the infection fatality rate is between 0.12% and 0.2%.

武士の情けであえて親切にやさしく対応してやってるのはこっちなんだが…

2020-04-21

Kimetsu - Privacy Policy

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2020-04-20

もう平成には戻れない

There will be no 'back to normal'

New modes of collaboration between the public and private sectors will emerge for future surge capacity - e.g. hotels designed, and part-funded, to act as hospital overspill.

病室に収容されることが上級国民の証になるかも 一般国民アパホテル収容してくれるってよ

The crisis may exacerbate income inequality, since higher-income workers are, on average, more able to work remotely.

いまリモートワークできている人はこれから勝ち組

Possibly millions of people may suffer permanent health issues (e.g. lung scarring), causing further economic impact.

コロナ感染して今回死ななくても、一生デバフ効果に苛まれることになる=コロナ感染して肺炎になった時点でポンコツB品扱いに

出自粛は他人のためでなく自分のためだよ

This also means that many jobs that disappear during the pandemic will not return.

営業自粛を求められた業種ってそのまま消えるかもよ

We anticipate lasting interest in remote working models (which may lead to a further fall in commercial rent).

金持ち父さん的な大家さん業オワタ

There may be possible acceleration of labour-replacing automation by firms, especially if the cost of borrowing decreases and the minimum wage increases

低賃金では働きたくないでござるなんて甘えている労働者排除されかねないね

The crisis is accelerating major changes in how we live online, many of which will be permanent - e.g. some firms which can function effectively with a remote workforce will close offices to save costs, whilst many commuters will be reluctant to resume that lifestyle.

あれっ REITってもう破綻するんじゃね?

Civil rights and property rights are being suspended as governments declare states of emergency; some fear that these rights may never be restored, leading to a permanent erosion of civil liberties.

自粛じゃ手ぬるいとか言ってるバカ奥州出羽守見てる?

Uneven enforcement, heavy-handed legal sanctions or officiousness by police and authorities may lead to decreased trust and confidence of the public, and diminished notion of ‘policing by consent’.

上級国民ww

The crisis has created a dramatic short-term reduction in air pollution and greenhouse gases, as travel and industry have dropped precipitously.

やべぇ コロナのおかげで空気キレイになり温室効果ガス(?も減りまくり これにはグレタちゃんも大喜び

Although investment in electric vehicles has fallen, if air pollution is shown to be a contributory factor in coronavirus deaths (currently unclear but postulated), this may lead to renewed efforts to remove polluting vehicles and other sources of air pollution.

実は大気汚染がヤバかったところがコロナでもヤバいんじゃね

Restrictions on the trade of exotic animals will increase, possibly also with greater protections for wildlife. (Epidemiologists were warning for decades that "the presence of a large reservoir of SARS-CoV-like viruses in horseshoe bats, together with the culture of eating exotic mammals in southern China, is a time bomb".)

なんだかんだでコウモリなんて食ってる土人はクソ

2020-04-14

新型コロナウイルス医師 Sandro Giannini の発見から見えた希望の光(英訳

こちらの記事英訳です。

Coronavirus: speranze dalla scoperta di Sandro Giannini, 10 Aprile, 2020

https://buongiornonews.it/coronavirus-una-speranza-dalla-scoperta-del-prof-giannini/

1) 英訳Google translate を利用させて頂きました)

Coronavirus: hopes from the discovery of Sandro Giannini

10 April, 2020

Bologna - From social media comes good news about the Coronavirus, perhaps decisive, which has scientific foundations and is disseminated by an authoritative doctor from Rizzoli of Bologna, Sandro Giannini. His is a highly qualified curriculum: Full Professor of Orthopedics and Traumatology and of Physical Medicine at the University of Bologna since 1989, director of Clinic I at the Rizzoli Orthopedic Institute and of the Gait Analysis Laboratory, partner in European projects and in national and international research programs, author of more than 600 presentations at national and international conferences and more than 400 articles in Science Citation Index journals. His message gives great hope. Let's read:

“I don't want to seem overwhelming to you, but I think I've demonstrated the cause of coronavirus lethality. Only at Blessed Matthew are there 2 cardiologists who turn over 150 beds to do echocardium with enormous effort and one is me. Terrible fatigue! However, of what some supposed, but could not be sure, we now have the first data. People go to resuscitation for generalized venous thromboembolism, especially pulmonary. If this were the case, resuscitations and intubations are of no use because first of all you have to dissolve, indeed prevent these thromboembolisms. If you ventilate a lung where blood does not reach, it is not needed! In fact 9 out of 10 die. Because the problem is cardiovascular, not respiratory! It is venous microthrombosis, not pneumonia that determines fatality!

And why are thrombi formed? Because inflammation, as per school text, induces thrombosis through a complex but well-known pathophysiological mechanism. Then? Contrary to what scientific literature, especially Chinese, said until mid-March, it was that anti-inflammatories should not be used. Now in Italy anti-inflammatories and antibiotics are used (as in the influences) and the number of inpatients collapses. Many deaths, even 40 years old, had a history of high fever for 10-15 days that was not treated properly. Here inflammation has destroyed everything and prepared the ground for thrombi formation. Because the main problem is not the virus, but the immune reaction that destroys the cells where the virus enters. In fact, our COVID departments have never entered patients with rheumatoid arthritis! Because they make cortisone, a powerful anti-inflammatory!

Therefore, hospitalizations in Italy are decreasing and it is becoming a disease that is treated at home. By taking care of it well at home, you avoid not only hospitalization, but also the thrombotic risk. It was not easy to understand it because the signs of microembolism have faded, even at the echocardium. But this weekend I compared the data of the first 50 patients between those who breathe badly and those who don't and the situation appeared very clear. For me you can go back to playing and reopen the business. Quarantine street. Not now. But time to publish this data. Vaccine can arrive calmly. In America and other states that follow the scientific literature that calls for NOT to use anti-inflammatories is a disaster! Worse than in Italy. And they are old and cheap drugs. " (Associated Medias - Red / Giut)

———

2) 原文:イタリア語

Coronavirus: speranze dalla scoperta di Sandro Giannini

10 Aprile, 2020

Bologna – Dai social arriva una buona notizia sul Coronavirus, forse risolutiva, che ha fondamenta scientifiche ed è diffusa da un medico autorevole del Rizzoli di Bologna, Sandro Giannini. Il suo è un curriculum molto qualificato: Professore ordinario di Ortopedia e Traumatologia e di Medicina Fisica presso l’Universidi Bologna dal 1989, direttore della Clinica I presso l’Istituto Ortopedico Rizzoli e del Laboratorio di Gait Analysis, partner in progetti europei e in programmi di ricerca nazionali e internazionali, autore di più di 600 presentazioni a congressi nazionali ed internazionali e più di 400 articoli in riviste Science Citation Index. Il suo messaggio dà grande speranza. Leggiamolo:

“Non vorrei sembrarvi eccessivo ma credo di aver dimostrato la causa della letalità del coronavirus. Solo al Beato Matteo ci sono 2 cardiologi che girano su 150 letti a fare ecocardio con enorme fatica e uno sono io. Fatica terribile! Però, di quello che alcuni supponevano, ma non ne riuscivano a essere sicuri, ora abbiamo i primi dati. La gente va in rianimazione per tromboembolia venosa generalizzata, soprattutto polmonare. Se così fosse, non servono a niente le rianimazioni e le intubazioni perché innanzitutto devi sciogliere, anzi prevenire queste tromboembolie. Se ventili un polmone dove il sangue non arriva, non serve! Infatti muoiono 9 su 10. Perche il problema è cardiovascolare, non respiratorio! Sono le microtrombosi venose, non la polmonite a determinare la fatalità!

E perché si formano trombi? Perche l’infiammazione come da testo scolastico, induce trombosi attraverso un meccanismo fisiopatologico complesso ma ben noto. Allora? Contrariamente a quello che la letteratura scientifica, soprattutto cinese, diceva fino a metà marzo era che non bisognava usare antinfiammatori. Ora in Italia si usano antinfiammatori e antibiotici (come nelle influenze) e il numero dei ricoverati crolla. Molti morti, anche di 40 anni, avevano una storia di febbre alta per 10-15 giorni non curata adeguatamente. Qui l’infiammazione ha distrutto tutto e preparato il terreno alla formazione dei trombi.  Perche il problema principale non è il virus, ma la reazione immunitaria che distrugge le cellule dove il virus entra. Infatti nei nostri reparti COVID non sono mai entrati malati di artrite reumatoide! Perche fanno il cortisone, un potente antinfiammatorio!

Pertanto, in Italia ospedalizzazioni si riducono e sta diventando una malattia che si cura a casa. Curandola bene a casa eviti non solo ospedalizzazione, ma anche il rischio trombotico.  Non era facile capirlo perché i segni della microembolia sono sfumati, anche all’ecocardio. Ma questo week end ho confrontato i dati dei primi 50 pazienti tra chi respira male e chi no e la situazione è apparsa molto chiara. Per me si può tornare a giocare e riaprire l’attività commerciali. Via quarantena. Non subito. Ma il tempo di pubblicare questi dati. Vaccino può arrivare con calma. In America e altri stati che seguono la letteratura scientifica che invita a NON usare antinfiammatori e’ un disastro! Peggio che in Italia. E sono farmaci vecchi e che costano pochi euro.”

(Associated MediasRed/Giut)

———

3) 追記

これ↓はどうも違う、ということのようです。

FDAが、COVID-19への非ステロイド性抗炎症薬(NSAIDs)使用について助言, 2020年4月1日

https://www.cancerit.jp/65020.html

2020-04-10

メンタリストになって荒稼ぎする簡単方法

1)

例えば「孤独な人ほどクリエティティが高い」とか、弱者大衆)が喜びそうなネタを考える。テーマはなんでもいい。「女性幸せ職場生産性が高い」とか、要は世間受けしそうな話を考える。

2)

それを英語表現した場合検索ワードを考える。例えば上の場合だと「Solitude孤独)」「creativity(クリエティティ)」「Study(研究)」とか。

3)

そのワード英語ニュース記事検索ポイントは「Study(研究)」とか「Study finds研究結果)」とか、研究系に結びつく言葉を入れて調べるとただのコラムなどを除外できてよい。医学ネタならPubmed科学ネタならsciencemag、Sciencedirectとか論文検索サイトでもいい。(その場合はStudyは当然外す)ついでに言うと、こういうニュースだったり論文バーっとタイトルで見てるともっと変な研究が出てくることも多いので、逆にそこからネタを考えることもできる。

上の例でいうと、すぐこんな都合のよい研究記事がでる。

People who seek solitude are more creative, study finds孤独を求める人はよりクリエティブという研究結果)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/11/22/people-who-seek-solitude-are-more-creative-study-finds/

英語読める人は読めばいいし、読めない人は翻訳にかけて最低「どこどこ大学でこんな結果がでた」だけ言えれば詳細はいらないので、全部読まなくていい。

A new study by a group of psychologists at SUNY Buffalo finds that not all forms of social withdrawal are harmful. In fact, the study is the first to find a link between a particular type of social withdrawal and a beneficial outcome — in this case, increased creativity.



4)

これを覚えて、あとはこんな風に喋る。

「本当は、いま孤独を感じている人というのは実は普通の人たちよりもずっとクリエティブな可能性があるんですよ。これはバッファロー州立大学で行われた研究なんですけど(実験内容)によって、孤独を感じていると答えた人たちとそうでない人たちを比べると、孤独と答えた人たちの方がより仕事創造性を発揮して、収入も高いという相関性が出てるんですね」

この振る舞いを見ると、この人は普段からめちゃくちゃ論文とかニュースを読み漁っていてものすごく博識なんだと思うだろう。が、実際は逆で、社会弱者(つまりマス)が好きそうなネタであったりを探して、むしろそこからそれに適した海外論文なり研究結果を引っ張ってくる、というやり方で誰でもメンタリストと同じ話ができる。まあこんな恥ずかしいことをできれば、の話だけど。

2020-03-29

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2020-03-27

楽園こちら側」の「事実に誠意を」をほぼdeepLで翻訳してみた その1

https://georgebest1969.typepad.jp/blog/2020/03/事実に誠意を.html

これが原文です。

外国から問い合わせが来ているけれども時間がなくて訳せないということで、DeepLの性能確認ついでにやってみました。

この私訳と岩田健太郎先生無関係なのでよろしくお願いします。

訳された文章を原文と見比べ、翻訳文章おかしくなったところや慣用句は「必ず日本語側の文章をいじることで」できるだけ解消しました。

よって改変した文章だけをこちらに載せ、改変する必要がなかったところは段落番号しか載せていません。元文章は元ブログを当たってください。

英語に詳しいパーソンが精査していただけると幸いです。

1 Most of what I'm about to write is no different from what I've said and done in the past. However, I have been asked the same question repeatedly, so I would like to reiterate it. We have received many inquiries from overseas as well, so we should have prepared the same content in English, but due to time constraints, I'm afraid I'll have to skip it. This article is designed to be read without basic knowledge of infectious diseases and jargon, but it is rather difficult to understand. Please forgive me for that.

感想:「Chromeかなにかでそれぞれ母国語に訳してお読みいただけると幸いです。」がきれいさっぱり消えている。DeepLの自負心だろう。

2 The fact that the number of COVID-19 reports in Japan is very low compared to other countries is attracting attention from home and abroad. Is it true? It has been pointed out that the number of tests is so small that we may be misreading the actual number of infected people.

感想home and abrodeでいいんだろうか?

3 However, this point is wrong at various layers. In the first place, Japan does not aim to capture all the numbers of COVID-19. Whether it's administrative testing or insured care, the state basically has a testing strategy in mind to diagnose, hospitalize, and isolate critically ill patients who need to be hospitalized. It is natural that they "haven't figured it out" and they don't intend to. That's not a bad thing.In fact, the situation is the same in every country, large or small, and no country, whether in the United States, Europe, or Asia, is aiming to "capture the whole number.

感想最後の文はなぜか他の文と一緒に入力すると訳してくれなかった。この文一つだけ入力すると訳してくれた。

よく考えると「多かれ少なかれ」は通じないだろうから直した方がよかった。なぜかDeepLに繋がらなくなったのでもう直せない。

WHOもそんなことは求めていない。もっとも、そのわりに日本帰国者無症状者にPCRをやってみたり、無症状な検査陽性者を入院隔離させてみたり(軽症者は自宅じゃなかったの?)、プリンシプルにおいて首尾一貫していない。だから、「彼らがなにがやりたいか私たちはよくわからない」ので、人々は不安になる。リスコミにおける失敗と言えよう。

The WHO is not asking for such a thing. But instead, Japan gives PCR to asymptomatic returnees and isolates asymptomatic test-positive people in hospital (wasn't it home for people with minor illnesses?). It has not been coherent in its principles. So, people get anxious because "we're not sure what they want to do". It's a failure in the press.

感想:「なにがやりたいかよくわからない」に主語付与する必要があった。リスコミがpressになった。よくわかったな。

「〜は自宅じゃなかったの?)、」の、が.になっているのがよくわからない。なぜかDeepLに繋がらなくなったのでもう直せない。

4 The difference between Korea and Japan is the "result" and not the "purpose". In South Korea, where the number of infected people had surged in one place, we had to focus on inspections in and around the area. If such a phenomenon (let's call it an overshoot) occurs in Japan, the number of inspections will increase. When the situation is different, arguing only on the basis of the number of tests without observing the situation is like trying to say, "That team made 50 sliding tackles while this team made only one," without watching a football game. In games where you don't have to slide (e.g., when you're in possession the whole time), even 0 times isn't a "mistake," and of course 50 times isn't a mistake.

感想特に言うことはない。便利だなあ。

5 全数把握ができていない疾患など山のようにある。日本ではインフルエンザの「全数」把握はしておらず、定点観測である疫学上、感染対策上、それで十分な情報が得られているからだ。日本で毎年風邪が何例発生しているか、正確に把握したデータはない。レセプトデータを見ればわかるじゃないか、というのも間違いで、なぜなら多くの風邪患者は(ぼくのように)受診せずに自然に治るまで待っている。医療に限らず、経済学でも政治学でもデータサンプリングから母数を推定するのがほとんどで、「全数」は非効率的状態把握法なのだ

There are many diseases for which the total number of patients is not known. In Japan, we do not have a "total" number of influenza cases, but only a fixed-point observation. Because that's enough information, both epidemiologically and in terms of infection control. There is no accurate data on how many cases of the common cold occur each year in Japan. It's also a mistake to say that you can tell by looking at the receipt data, because many cold patients (like me) don't see a doctor and wait until they are cured naturally. Not only in medicine, but also in economics and political science, data are mostly based on sampling to estimate population numbers, and "whole numbers" is an inefficient way of grasping the situation.

感想:ちょこちょこ変えてある。日本語文章が多少おかしくなっているのは勘弁してほしい。接続詞を適切に入れると格段に翻訳が正確になる。

6 We have not seen the devastation in Japan as in Italy, Spain or New York City. There is no medical collapse in a critically ill patient, no use of the operating room as an ICU, no piling up of bodies on a skating rink with no place to put them. Even if the "numbers" are not known, it is a fact that the current situation in Japan (including Tokyo) is much better controlled than in other countries.

感想特に言うことはない。便利だなあ。

7 Even so, you may be interested in "Well, what about the actual situation? There are estimates. For example, Dr. Hiroshi Nishiura and his group estimate that the number of mild illnesses in Japan may be twice the reported number. The catch rate is 0.44, with a 95% confidence interval of 0.37-0.50.

感想特に言うことはない。便利だなあ。

8 Although the study was based on data from China, there is no guarantee that the Chinese COVID-19 demographic is the same as the Japanese one. Also, since the original study did not include asymptomatic patients or those with minor illnesses that did not require hospitalization, the number of infected patients estimated on that basis would inevitably be an underestimate. If you are more paranoid, it's not unreasonable to believe that "the Japanese and Chinese viruses are different because of the mutation" (although I don't think so).

感想特に言うことはない。便利だなあ。

9 This does not diminish the value of the paper itself. The model must always use existing parameters, and it is often impossible to prove the external validity of these parameters. If the underlying parameters are not reasonable, the predictions will not be correct. A model assumes a simplified world insofar as it is a model. A model without simplification, which is an adjectival contradiction.

数理モデルのこうした「前提」にイチャモンを付けるのは、例えばAという疾患を対象ランダム比較試験をしたときに、「Bという疾患については説明できないじゃないか」と文句を言うようなもので、業界仁義に反する意味のない揚げ足取りである

To complain about these "assumptions" of the mathematical model is like complaining, for example, "You can't explain disease B," when a randomized controlled trial is conducted for disease A. This is a meaningless tirade against the honor of the industry.

感想;「分からない」を「説明できない」に変えた。多分これでいいと思う。思いたい。

10 しかし、論文読み手にとっては別である

However, it is different for the reader of the paper.

A mathematical model that assumes a certain hypothesis should have internal academic validity, but it is the responsibility of the reader, as a resident of the real world, to appraise it in the real world.

Aという疾患を対象にしたRCTの知見をBという疾患に使ってはならないように、数理モデル制限理解し、現実世界にアプライするときに十分注意するのは当然だ。

Just as the RCT findings for disease A should not be used for disease B, it is natural to understand the limitations of the mathematical model and to be careful when applying it to the real world. For example, it would be wrong to read the paper and conclude that the total number of infected people in Tokyo is about 500 as of March 26.

感想;「読み手は別である」を「読み手にとっては別である」に変更し、「制限限界」は「limitations and limitations」になったので片方削った。

11 People make mistakes. The models are also wrong. Being wrong is not a big deal. The problem is to notice your mistakes and make corrections. Already, a group at Imperial College London has admitted that its original estimate that the peak of the infection should be moderated was "wrong" and has revised its prediction that the ICU will soon fail if it does not fight the virus fairly aggressively.

感想特に言うことはない。便利だなあ。

https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20200327215116その2

2020-03-26

colony.[16] Further tensions between the British and Qing over the opium trade escalated into the Second Opium War. The Qing were again defeated, and forced to give up Kowloon Peninsula and Stonecutter's Island in the Convention of Peking.[17] By the end of this war, Hong Kong had evolved from a transient colonial outpost into a major entrepôt. Rapid economic improvement during the 1850s att

https://youtubecomhelp.zendesk.com/hc/ru/community/posts/360007745680--Жизнь-после-жизни-9-серия-26-03-2020-смотреть-качество-HD-

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attracting commerce. Conditions on the island improved during the Taiping Rebellion in the 1850s, when many Chinese refugees, including wealthy merchants, fled mainland turbulence and settled in the colony.[16] Further tensions between the British and Qing over the opium trade escalated into

https://youtubecomhelp.zendesk.com/hc/pl/community/posts/360007743759-26-03-2020-Патриот-11-серия-канал-ТНТ-все-серии-сезона-от-26-марта-

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rn coast of Hong Kong Island. Aberdeen was an initial point of contact between British sailors and local fishermen.[36] Although the source of the romanised name is unknown, it is generally believed to be an early phonetic

https://youtubecomhelp.zendesk.com/hc/pl/community/posts/360007743859-26-03-2020-Любовь-на-выживание-9-серия-канал-пятница-смотреть-качество-HD-от-26-марта

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https://youtubecomhelp.zendesk.com/hc/en/community/posts/360007746400--Место-под-солнцем-28-серия-26-03-2020-онлайн-сериал-смотреть-от-26-марта-

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https://youtubecomhelp.zendesk.com/hc/en/community/posts/360007743759-26-03-2020-Патриот-11-серия-канал-ТНТ-все-серии-сезона-от-26-марта-

https://youtubecomhelp.zendesk.com/hc/ru/community/posts/360007745139--Заступники-3-серия-26-03-2020-смотреть-в-хорошем-качестве-от-26-марта-

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Etymology Hong Kong Hong Kong in Chinese 2.svg "Hong Kong" in Chinese characters Chinese 香港 Cantonese Yale About this soundHēungng or Hèungng Literal meaning "Fragrant Harbour" [33][34] Transcriptions Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Traditional Chinese 香港特別行政區 (香港特區) Simplified Chinese 香港特别行政区 (香港特区) Cantonese Yale Hēungng Dahkbiht Hàhngjingui (Hēungng Dahkkēui) or Hèungng Dahkbiht Hàhngjingui (Hèungng Dahkkēui) Transcriptions The name of the territory, first romanised as "He-Ong-Kong" in 1780,[35] originally referred to a small inlet located between Aberdeen Island and the southern coast of Hong Kong Island.

https://youtubecomhelp.zendesk.com/hc/pl/community/posts/360007745180--Любовь-на-выживание-9-серия-канал-пятница-26-03-2020-последние-серии-смотреть-от-26-марта-

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2020-03-25

thern Ireland's creative industries, contributing to an estimated 12.4-percent growth in arts, entertainment, and recreation jobs between 2008 and 2013 (compared with 4.3 percent in the rest of the UK during the same period).[115] In September 2018, after the filming had finished, HBO announced plans to convert its filming locations in Northern Ireland into tourist attractions to be opened in 2019.[116]

https://oomnitza.zendesk.com/hc/tvv/community/posts/360041947334-26-03-2020-В-шаге-от-рая-17-серия-Россия-1-смотреть-качество-HD-

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ark in Iceland was used for the fight between Brienne and the Hound.[97] Filming took 136 days and ended on November 21, 2013.[102] The fifth season added Seville, Spain, used for scenes of Dorne, as well as Córdoba.[103]

https://oomnitza.zendesk.com/hc/tvv/community/posts/360041949734-26-03-2020-Ничто-не-случается-дважды-2-сезон-13-серия-смотреть-онлайн-в-хорошем-качестве-

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iocletian's Palace in Split, Klis Fortress north of Split, Perun quarry east of Split, the Mosor mountain range, and Baška Voda further south.[101] Thingvellir National Park in Iceland was used for the fight between Brienne and the H

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2020-03-22

Privacy Policy - リポスト for インスタ

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