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はてなキーワード: GEtとは
昨今の米国でのプロテストに世界が刮目する中、"Black Lives Matter" というフレーズをご存知の方も増えてきたことと思う。
文字通り訳せば、"黒人の命は大切である"ということなのだが、これに対し"黒人だけじゃなくて、白人も、アジア人も、みんなの命が大切なのでは？"と純粋に思われる方もいるだろう。
その通りである。
米国では、"Black Lives Matter"に対し"All Lives Matter" (="みんなの命は大切である") という発言を様々な場所で読む、又は耳にする機会が多数存在する。
日本でも、この運動やその根底にある人種差別問題への関心が少しずつ高まっている中で、"All Lives Matter"という、（恐らく多くの日本人にとって）一見自明で無害のように見える一文の意味するところを、とあるRedditでの投稿を引用する形で紹介しようと思う。
以下引用及び拙訳 (r/explainlikeimfive/comments/3du1qm/eli5_why_is_it_so_controversial_when_someone_says/ より)
Imagine that you're sitting down to dinner with your family, and while everyone else gets a serving of the meal, you don't get any. So you say "I should get my fair share." And as a direct response to this, your dad corrects you, saying, "everyone should get their fair share." Now, that's a wonderful sentiment -- indeed, everyone should, and that was kinda your point in the first place: that you should be a part of everyone, and you should get your fair share also. However, dad's smart-ass comment just dismissed you and didn't solve the problem that you still haven't gotten any!
以下のような状況を想像してみてください。あなたは今、家族とディナーの席にいます。あなた以外には食事が配膳されていく中、あなたの前には何もありません。そこであなたは、”フェアな分量の食事が私に配膳されるべきだ”、と父親に伝えたところ、彼は以下のように応えました。”家族みんながそれぞれのフェアな分量を配膳されるべきだね”、と。確かに、彼の発言そのものは、当然のことであり、素晴らしいですが、この返答には齟齬があります。というのも、ディナーを取り囲んでいる家族のメンバー各自が、（彼の言う様に）フェアな分量を配膳されるべきだからこそ、その一員であるあなたは自分の分量を主張しているのです。従って、彼の返事はあなたの前に食事がないという現実問題に対して無関心であり、何の解決策も提示していません。そして何より、依然としてあなたの前には食事がありません。
The problem is that the statement "I should get my fair share" had an implicit "too" at the end: "I should get my fair share, too, just like everyone else." But your dad's response treated your statement as though you meant "only I should get my fair share", which clearly was not your intention. As a result, his statement that "everyone should get their fair share," while true, only served to ignore the problem you were trying to point out.
ここでの問題は、あなたの”フェアな分量の食事が私に配膳されるべきだ”という発言の真意が、"(他のみんなと同じように、私にも）フェアな分量の食事が配膳されるべきだ"という括弧内の部分を前提に含んでいるにもかかわらず、”フェアな分量の食事が私（だけに）配膳されるべきだ”とあなたが発言したかのように、父親が（あなたの意図に反して）受け取った、という点にあります。従って、彼の発言そのものが真実であることに変わりはないものの、あなたには食事がないという問題は看過されてしまっているのです。
That's the situation of the "black lives matter" movement. Culture, laws, the arts, religion, and everyone else repeatedly suggest that all lives should matter. Clearly, that message already abounds in our society.
これこそが、"Black Lives Matter" 運動の対峙している状況なのです。文化、法律、芸術作品や宗教、その他全てが繰り返し、みんなの命が大切であるべきだ、と主張しています。米国社会においては、このメッセージは至る所で目にすることでしょう。
The problem is that, in practice, the world doesn't work the way. You see the film Nightcrawler? You know the part where Renee Russo tells Jake Gyllenhal that she doesn't want footage of a black or latino person dying, she wants news stories about affluent white people being killed? That's not made up out of whole cloth -- there is a news bias toward stories that the majority of the audience (who are white) can identify with. So when a young black man gets killed (prior to the recent police shootings), it's generally not considered "news", while a middle-aged white woman being killed is treated as news. And to a large degree, that is accurate -- young black men are killed in significantly disproportionate numbers, which is why we don't treat it as anything new. But the result is that, societally, we don't pay as much attention to certain people's deaths as we do to others. So, currently, we don't treat all lives as though they matter equally.
しかしながら、現実社会においては決してその通りではなく、命の重みは平等ではありません。あなたは、Nightcrawlerという映画を見ましたか？その映画の中で、Renee RussoがJake Gyllenhalに対して、黒人もしくはラテン系アメリカ人が命を落とすような映像ではなく、裕福な白人が殺害されたといったようなニュースが欲しい、と伝えるシーンがあります。実はこのシーンは、ニュースの大部分の受け手である白人層が共感できるような報道を重視するというような、現実に即したメディアのバイアスを如実に反映しています。現実として、若い黒人男性が殺害されることはニュースにならない一方で、中年白女性の殺害事件はニュースとして世間に扱われます。さらに言えば、統計上有意に多数の若い黒人男性が日々命を落としてしまっているという現状において、そういった死のニュース性が少ないということは単なるバイアスとして存在するわけではなく、ほとんどの場合事実なのです。その結果、一部のグループの人々の死に対しては他のグループの人々の死ほどに、私たちは社会全体として注目しません。人の命は本来全て平等であるにも関わらず、現実として私たちはそれらを平等に扱っていないのです。
Just like asking dad for your fair share, the phrase "black lives matter" also has an implicit "too" at the end: it's saying that black lives should also matter. But responding to this by saying "all lives matter" is willfully going back to ignoring the problem. It's a way of dismissing the statement by falsely suggesting that it means "only black lives matter," when that is obviously not the case. And so saying "all lives matter" as a direct response to "black lives matter" is essentially saying that we should just go back to ignoring the problem.
あなたが父親に自分の分の食事を求めた時のように、"Black Lives Matter"というフレーズにも"too"、すなわち黒人の命”も”大切であるという前提があります。他の人種の人々の命と同様、黒人の命も大切に扱われるべきだ、というメッセージがそこにはあるのです。これに対して"All Lives Matter"と応えることは、その根底にある（黒人の命が他の命と同様に大切に扱われていないという）問題を恣意的に無視していることになるのです。そのような問題の共通認識が前提として明らかに存在しているにも関わらず、さも"黒人の命だけが大切だ"という主張であると曲解することで、"Black Lives Matter"という本来の主張を退けてしまっています。"Black Lives Matter"というメッセージに対して、"All Lives Matter"と応えることは、黒人の日々対峙するそのような問題を無視し、そのままの現状を維持しよう、と主張する事と本質的に変わりはないのです。
I have a girlfriend who is living with me. Yesterday, I picked up some food on the way home from work. My girlfriend saw it and told me "PLEASE, NOT TO BUY SWEETS" . Because she has been working at home recently due to the COVID19, she feels guilty because she eats all the sweets in the house. It made me sad. I just wanted to give her a break while she was working at home.こんちくしょーが She too was tired from the end of the workday. I was also exhausted at the end of the work day. That's just the way it is. But that doesn't change the fact that I felt sad. I'm writing this because I wanted to look back on the situation at that time and put a stop to my feelings so that I could say "I'm home" with her when I get home today.
こんにちは、増田に書くのは初めてだけど誰にも言えない私の思い出を書いておこうと思って書きました。
高校3年生、お金が欲しくなって援助交際をした。近日中にお金が欲しいんだよねと、クラスの一番仲の良い友達に相談したら「いい掲示板があるよ」と、援助交際の掲示板を紹介された。「私もやったことあるよ」と言われて、それならいいかと軽い気持ちで、サブメアドを書き込むと、大量のメールが届いた。
「こんにちは〜^_^」
とりあえず全てに返信をするけど全員とメールが続くわけではないため、とりあえず会話を続けてふるいにかける。残ったのは３人。
そのうちの１人がアドレスの設定を「子安武人」にしていてなんか面白いからその人とセックスすることにした。(処女ではない)
上野のラブホでエッチするはずだったが、その人は勃たなかった。「おかしいな…緊張してるからかなははは」とか言って、結局ベッドに入りながら1時間半ぐらいおしゃべりしただけで３万円くれた。バイトもしていない高校生からしたら超大金。帰り道はカバンが盗まれたらどうしよう、財布落としたらどうしよう、援交が警察にバレたらどうしようとヒヤヒヤしながら帰った。
大学に入るまでは受験で忙しかったから援助交際はしなかった。都内のそこそこいい学校に行き、一人暮らしでお金が無くてまた援助交際した。
最初はパパ活のつもりで出会い系サイトに登録したけどエスカレートして結局色々やった。
手コキ(個室漫喫)
たくさんしたな、懐かしいな
フェラチオしてあげた後に、君どこの店？って聞かれたのは嬉しかった。
11:00~12:00 〇〇さん(1h) 手コキフェラチオ ＠個室漫喫 1万
12:00~13:00 ××さん(1h) 手コキフェラチオ ＠個室漫喫 1万
14:00~17:00 △△さん(3h) セックス @ラブホ 5万
18:00~18:30 ⬜︎⬜︎さん (30min) パンツ生脱ぎ手渡し ＠カラオケ 5千円
20:00~22:00 ◉◉さん (2h) セックス @ラブホ ３万
こんな景気の良い日は１日で10万5千円getしちゃったりしてね。もちろん終わったその日は精神的にも肉体的にもぐったりだけど。
リピートして会ってくれる人たくさんいたな。楽しかったしもう時間もまあまあ経ってるから、印象的なエピソードをまた気が向いた時に記録として書いていきたいと思う。
今は援助交際はしていない。援助交際の怖いところは辞め時がわからないところ。辞める直前までは、私はいつになったら辞めるんだろうと思いながらやっていたところはあった。結局彼氏にバレて、やめなよって諭してくれて辞めることができた。だから彼氏に真剣に諭された時は、あぁやっと辞めれるなと思っていた。その人とは別れちゃったけど。
援助交際はギャンブルと一緒なんだよね。ギャンブルやったことないけど。色々してあげた後、お金もらえる時が一番アドレナリン出る。しかも男たち(客とは言わない、店じゃないからね)はありがとう、楽しかったよとか、良かったよって言いながらお金を渡してくるから、なんてwin-winな人助けなんだろう！なんて思ってた。
実際やめてからの１年間はなんて自分は汚いんだろうと、過ちを犯してしまったことを悔やんだ。活動する地域は限定していたから、用事があって援交してた街に行く時は辛くなった。今になってやっと懐かしい思い出として思い出せるようになってきた。
援助交際をしていた時はスナックでも働いていて、今はスナックはやめてアイドルをしている。ひどいアイドルだと思う。過去は過去だからと納得はしているが、実際自分をこうやって客観視するとひどい、本当にひどいアイドルである。ファンの人ごめんなさい。
援助交際して、スナックで働いて、アイドルやって、私はおばさんになるまではずっとこの、女を売り誰かから搾取するような生き方をしていくんだろう。援助交際もスナックもアイドルも、誰かを元気付けて対価をもらい、相手を日常生活に送り出していくという形式がどれも共通して当てはまってしまうのが可笑しくて笑ってしまう。やっていることの本質は一緒。世間の印象が段階的に”最悪”から”マシ”になっているだけだよ。
あーあおもろい人生。
プログラミング言語を印象批評している記事に触発されて、自分も印象批評してみようと思う。
JavaScript以外にもブラウザ上でぐりぐりするのにはJava AppletとかFlashとかSilverlightとかいろいろあったけれど、結局標準化を成し遂げたHTML5に淘汰されちゃった感じがする。LiveScriptからJavaScriptに改名されたり、規格を話すときはECMA Scriptだったりといろんな別名を持つ。一応、プロトタイプベースのオブジェクト指向言語なんだけれど、それを意識してコードを書く人がどれくらいいるかは謎。
Pythonは小さいコードを書くのには楽だけど、これで大きなコードを書くと思わぬ変更で思わぬことが起きるのでつらい。しばらく使うとPythonイヤイヤ病にり患し、goを使うようになるらしいとか、ならないとか。pythonで大規模なコードを万一書こうと思うなら、カバレッジが高いテストを書いてくれと思う。
Javaは初期のころオートボクシング / アンボクシングもなく、ストイックなオブジェクト指向言語だった記憶がある。ただ、staticを多用してオブジェクト指向とは程遠いコードも簡単に書けるので、Javaで書いているからと言ってオブジェクト指向だと思うのは禁物である。
PHPはWebネイティブな言語で、初期のころHTTP POST/GETなどで渡された変数がそのままプログラム中に出てくる機能や初期化していない変数を最初に使うと空文字列あるいは0で初期化するという機能があった。また、文字列と数字を臨機応変に切り替える機能もあり(今もそうかは知らん)、数字と文字の比較を比較演算子(==)でシームレスにできる。パスワードチェックみたいなコードで===ではなく、==を使っているとPHPを知らないバカ扱いされる。
C#はHello Worldくらいしか書いたことないから知らん。monoのような互換環境があるのは知っているけれど、わざわざPC Unix上でmonoを使う気分にはなれなかった。
C++は黎明期に使った感じと、C++11以降に使った感じが驚くほど違う言語。今はかゆいところには大抵STLで手が届くし、autoを使えばイテレーションで腱鞘炎になることもない。PC Unixにも最初から環境がインストールされているか、簡単にインストールできるので毛嫌いせず使うとよいと思う。
Rubyはぎょっとする変更をよくやるというイメージ。これで書かれたプログラムを長年愛用してきたが、ぎょっとした変更を入れられて動かなくなったのでgoで書き直した。その点ではpythonも3でおいていかれたので嫌い。
TypeScriptは書いたことないから知らない。JavaScriptだと大規模コードを書くとつらいのでTypeScriptを使おうという人がいるのは知っている。大規模なコードを書くとしたら、インタフェースに合った呼び出しかコンパイル時にチェックしてくれるような強く片付けされた言語のほうがよくなってくるというのはわかる。
Cは片付けし、構造化したプログラムを書きやすくしたアセンブラ...というイメージだったんだけど、C99くらいから便利機能がいろいろ入ってそうでもない感じになった印象。昔はCのコードを見たら最適化した後のx86アセンブリが見えていたんだけれど、最近は見えなくなってしまった。子供のころ、本屋で秘伝C言語問答 ポインタ編に出会ったのがこの業界に入るきっかけだったのかもしれない。ほかの言語でいろいろ楽に書けるから、カーネルをいじるか、システムコールをたたくかするときくらいしか自分の中では出番がなくなってしまった。
これ以下のランキングのもその気になったら書こうかな。
この解説記事の通りにやったらDockerのインストールが完了した。
sudo apt-get remove docker docker-engine docker.io containerd runc
sudo apt-get install apt-transport-https ca-certificates curl gnupg-agent software-properties-common
curl -fsSL https://download.docker.com/linux/ubuntu/gpg | sudo apt-key add -
# :OUTPUT:
# OK
sudo apt-key fingerprint 0EBFCD88
# :OUTPUT:
# pub rsa4096 2017-02-22 [SCEA]
sudo add-apt-repository "deb [arch=amd64] https://download.docker.com/linux/ubuntu $(lsb_release -cs) stable"
sudo apt-get install docker-ce docker-ce-cli containerd.io
# :OUTPUT:
深夜にふと流れてきた曲。
おそらく、バーのピアニストとしてのビリー本人の目線で、バーの様子が語られていく世界観の楽曲で、
バーの雰囲気だけでなく、そこに訪れる客のバックグラウンドなども語られる。
その曲中で、彼の友人であるJohnについて語られる部分がある。
「飲み代持ってくれて、ジョークが上手くて、タバコの火にも気が回るようなヤツ」という明るい面が提示された後に、「彼はこんな所にいるべきではない、他にいるべき場所があるはずだ」というフレーズがあり、Johnが話したセリフとして次のような歌詞に導かれる。
“Bill, I believe this is killing me.
Well, I’m sure that I could be a movie star, if I could get out of this place.”
(部分省略)
ざっと訳すと、
きっと映画のスターにもなれたさ、こんなところにいなければな。」のようになる。
これはkilling meを慣用句として捉えた場合で、これは「耐えられない、うんざりさせる」といった意味がある。
かのウイルスが奪ったのは命だけでなく、「自粛」という形で、誰かの仕事や趣味や生きがいをも奪っていった。
自分がやりたいことを「自粛しなければいけない」という状況で、「何か役に立てることをしたい」「自分を表現したい」と思っていても、「自粛」を強いられて部屋の中で燻っている。
表現をする知人は「時間はあるのに、何も生み出せず、まるで死んだみたいだ」と語っていた。
そんなとき、自分の生きがいを奪われた人は「殺された」言えるのではないだろうか。
ともすれば、This virus is killing me. という文は、実際に闘病して生死の境を彷徨っている場合にも使えるとは思うが、さまざまな要因で「生きている心地がしない」という意味合いも持つのではないだろうか。
Johnは役者になりたかったのかもしれない。でも、厳しい役者の世界で自分の性格に合わずにドロップアウトしたのかもしれない。家庭の事情で夢を追いかけるのを諦めてしまったのかもしれない。
自分のやりたかったことを辞めなければいけない辛さに直面したとき、それはIt is killing him.(それは彼を殺している)と言えるのではないだろうか。
それが成立するならば、この文脈における私の解釈は「This is killing me.=俺はもう生きている心地がしないんだ」である。
「もう俺は生きている心地がしないんだ。
もしここを出て行くことができれば、な」
きっと自粛の下で、この危険な状況下で生きている心地がしない方もいるだろうし、上記のような生きがいを奪われて死んだようになっている人もいて、
I. INTRODUCTION
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３ヶ月となると 一時解約が増えるだろうから
費用はどうなるの？ってのは調整だろうな
国が建て替えるとはいっても、国費用でジム行けるのか？ってなるから
７月以前に会員で自粛の影響を食らった人となるだろうが
そうなると、本当に解約しようとしてた人とか、オフィス移転でちょうど７月から会員になろうとしてた人とかいろんなケースがあるからつらいだろうな
あとは個人ジムだろうな、でもそれも商店街経由でなんとかなるだろ
ジム関連で客が激減してこまるところ・・・短期は大丈夫だろうが
ことしは新規の長期のサラリーマン層をGETできないだろうから、キャンペーン費用かかるだろうな、それを政府に請求するのは国民である俺らに請求するということだから、そこはひともんちゃくあるだろうな
https://apprisspmpclearinghouse.zendesk.com/hc/ru-tu/community/posts/360060187211-31-03-2020-Карпатский-рейнджер-22-серия-онлайн-сериал-смотреть-от-31-марта-
https://apprisspmpclearinghouse.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/community/posts/360060186391-31-03-2020-Карпатский-рейнджер-19-серия-смотреть-онлайн-в-хорошем-качестве-от-31-марта
https://hultfinance.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/community/posts/360042361874--Холостяк-10-сезон-5-серия-1-04-2020-последние-серии-смотреть-
https://apprisspmpclearinghouse.zendesk.com/hc/ua-tu/community/posts/360060280192--Место-под-солнцем-32-серия-31-03-2020-смотреть-онлайн-в-хорошем-качестве-
https://hultfinance.zendesk.com/hc/ua-tu/community/posts/360042362094--Корни-19-серия-1-04-2020-все-серии-сезона-
https://hultfinance.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/community/posts/360042362154-1-04-2020-Тайная-любовь-4-серия-смотреть-качество-HD-от-31-марта
https://hultfinance.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/community/posts/360042558193--Место-под-солнцем-31-серия-1-04-2020-все-серии-сезона-от-31-марта-
https://hultfinance.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/community/posts/360042361254-1-04-2020-Колл-центр-9-серия-смотреть-в-хорошем-качестве-от-31-марта-
https://apprisspmpclearinghouse.zendesk.com/hc/ru-tu/community/posts/360060281252-31-03-2020-Тайная-любовь-5-серия-хорошее-качество-смотреть-от-31-марта
https://georgebest1969.typepad.jp/blog/2020/03/事実に誠意を.html
これが原文です。
外国から問い合わせが来ているけれども時間がなくて訳せないということで、DeepLの性能確認ついでにやってみました。
この私訳と岩田健太郎先生は無関係なのでよろしくお願いします。
訳された文章を原文と見比べ、翻訳で文章がおかしくなったところや慣用句は「必ず日本語側の文章をいじることで」できるだけ解消しました。
よって改変した文章だけをこちらに載せ、改変する必要がなかったところは段落番号しか載せていません。元文章は元ブログを当たってください。
英語に詳しいパーソンが精査していただけると幸いです。
1 Most of what I'm about to write is no different from what I've said and done in the past. However, I have been asked the same question repeatedly, so I would like to reiterate it. We have received many inquiries from overseas as well, so we should have prepared the same content in English, but due to time constraints, I'm afraid I'll have to skip it. This article is designed to be read without basic knowledge of infectious diseases and jargon, but it is rather difficult to understand. Please forgive me for that.
感想：「Chromeかなにかでそれぞれ母国語に訳してお読みいただけると幸いです。」がきれいさっぱり消えている。DeepLの自負心だろう。
2 The fact that the number of COVID-19 reports in Japan is very low compared to other countries is attracting attention from home and abroad. Is it true? It has been pointed out that the number of tests is so small that we may be misreading the actual number of infected people.
3 However, this point is wrong at various layers. In the first place, Japan does not aim to capture all the numbers of COVID-19. Whether it's administrative testing or insured care, the state basically has a testing strategy in mind to diagnose, hospitalize, and isolate critically ill patients who need to be hospitalized. It is natural that they "haven't figured it out" and they don't intend to. That's not a bad thing.In fact, the situation is the same in every country, large or small, and no country, whether in the United States, Europe, or Asia, is aiming to "capture the whole number.
感想：最後の文はなぜか他の文と一緒に入力すると訳してくれなかった。この文一つだけ入力すると訳してくれた。
よく考えると「多かれ少なかれ」は通じないだろうから直した方がよかった。なぜかDeepLに繋がらなくなったのでもう直せない。
WHOもそんなことは求めていない。もっとも、そのわりに日本は帰国者無症状者にPCRをやってみたり、無症状な検査陽性者を入院隔離させてみたり（軽症者は自宅じゃなかったの？）、プリンシプルにおいて首尾一貫していない。だから、「彼らがなにがやりたいか私たちはよくわからない」ので、人々は不安になる。リスコミにおける失敗と言えよう。
The WHO is not asking for such a thing. But instead, Japan gives PCR to asymptomatic returnees and isolates asymptomatic test-positive people in hospital (wasn't it home for people with minor illnesses?). It has not been coherent in its principles. So, people get anxious because "we're not sure what they want to do". It's a failure in the press.
感想：「なにがやりたいかよくわからない」に主語を付与する必要があった。リスコミがpressになった。よくわかったな。
「〜は自宅じゃなかったの？）、」の、が.になっているのがよくわからない。なぜかDeepLに繋がらなくなったのでもう直せない。
4 The difference between Korea and Japan is the "result" and not the "purpose". In South Korea, where the number of infected people had surged in one place, we had to focus on inspections in and around the area. If such a phenomenon (let's call it an overshoot) occurs in Japan, the number of inspections will increase. When the situation is different, arguing only on the basis of the number of tests without observing the situation is like trying to say, "That team made 50 sliding tackles while this team made only one," without watching a football game. In games where you don't have to slide (e.g., when you're in possession the whole time), even 0 times isn't a "mistake," and of course 50 times isn't a mistake.
5 全数把握ができていない疾患など山のようにある。日本ではインフルエンザの「全数」把握はしておらず、定点観測である。疫学上、感染対策上、それで十分な情報が得られているからだ。日本で毎年風邪が何例発生しているか、正確に把握したデータはない。レセプトデータを見ればわかるじゃないか、というのも間違いで、なぜなら多くの風邪患者は（ぼくのように）受診せずに自然に治るまで待っている。医療に限らず、経済学でも政治学でもデータはサンプリングから母数を推定するのがほとんどで、「全数」は非効率的な状態把握法なのだ。
There are many diseases for which the total number of patients is not known. In Japan, we do not have a "total" number of influenza cases, but only a fixed-point observation. Because that's enough information, both epidemiologically and in terms of infection control. There is no accurate data on how many cases of the common cold occur each year in Japan. It's also a mistake to say that you can tell by looking at the receipt data, because many cold patients (like me) don't see a doctor and wait until they are cured naturally. Not only in medicine, but also in economics and political science, data are mostly based on sampling to estimate population numbers, and "whole numbers" is an inefficient way of grasping the situation.
感想：ちょこちょこ変えてある。日本語の文章が多少おかしくなっているのは勘弁してほしい。接続詞を適切に入れると格段に翻訳が正確になる。
6 We have not seen the devastation in Japan as in Italy, Spain or New York City. There is no medical collapse in a critically ill patient, no use of the operating room as an ICU, no piling up of bodies on a skating rink with no place to put them. Even if the "numbers" are not known, it is a fact that the current situation in Japan (including Tokyo) is much better controlled than in other countries.
7 Even so, you may be interested in "Well, what about the actual situation? There are estimates. For example, Dr. Hiroshi Nishiura and his group estimate that the number of mild illnesses in Japan may be twice the reported number. The catch rate is 0.44, with a 95% confidence interval of 0.37-0.50.
8 Although the study was based on data from China, there is no guarantee that the Chinese COVID-19 demographic is the same as the Japanese one. Also, since the original study did not include asymptomatic patients or those with minor illnesses that did not require hospitalization, the number of infected patients estimated on that basis would inevitably be an underestimate. If you are more paranoid, it's not unreasonable to believe that "the Japanese and Chinese viruses are different because of the mutation" (although I don't think so).
9 This does not diminish the value of the paper itself. The model must always use existing parameters, and it is often impossible to prove the external validity of these parameters. If the underlying parameters are not reasonable, the predictions will not be correct. A model assumes a simplified world insofar as it is a model. A model without simplification, which is an adjectival contradiction.
数理モデルのこうした「前提」にイチャモンを付けるのは、例えばAという疾患を対象にランダム化比較試験をしたときに、「Bという疾患については説明できないじゃないか」と文句を言うようなもので、業界の仁義に反する意味のない揚げ足取りである。
To complain about these "assumptions" of the mathematical model is like complaining, for example, "You can't explain disease B," when a randomized controlled trial is conducted for disease A. This is a meaningless tirade against the honor of the industry.
感想；「分からない」を「説明できない」に変えた。多分これでいいと思う。思いたい。
However, it is different for the reader of the paper.
A mathematical model that assumes a certain hypothesis should have internal academic validity, but it is the responsibility of the reader, as a resident of the real world, to appraise it in the real world.
Aという疾患を対象にしたRCTの知見をBという疾患に使ってはならないように、数理モデルの制限を理解し、現実世界にアプライするときに十分注意するのは当然だ。
Just as the RCT findings for disease A should not be used for disease B, it is natural to understand the limitations of the mathematical model and to be careful when applying it to the real world. For example, it would be wrong to read the paper and conclude that the total number of infected people in Tokyo is about 500 as of March 26.
感想；「読み手は別である」を「読み手にとっては別である」に変更し、「制限や限界」は「limitations and limitations」になったので片方削った。
11 People make mistakes. The models are also wrong. Being wrong is not a big deal. The problem is to notice your mistakes and make corrections. Already, a group at Imperial College London has admitted that its original estimate that the peak of the infection should be moderated was "wrong" and has revised its prediction that the ICU will soon fail if it does not fight the virus fairly aggressively.
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COVID ergo sum
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COVID ERGO SUM (@shintaninaoto) | تويتر - Twitter
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أحدث التغريدات من COVID ERGO SUM (@shintaninaoto). 異端派サラリーマン ． 日本は好きですが現政権や右派・国体思想には批判的です．Work like you get laid, so you know how to become a MILLIONAIRE! See you somewhere on the ...
ふふっ
https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20200219071929
コピペありがとう。英文として読めるように、文字起こし完成の作業をしている。終わったらここに貼りつけるね。→作業完了したから、この下に貼りつける。
英語版 文字起こし (自動生成）のコピペを、英語として読める文章にした。いくつか聞き取れていないところがあるので、わかる人がいたらトラバで教えてほしい。聞き取れていないところは「(inaudible01)」みたいに番号をふって記載してあるので、その番号を書いてトラバしてもらえると嬉しい。→20日朝、元動画がユーザーにより削除されていることを確認。よって、聞き取れなかった数か所はそのまま放置となります。あいすみません。
あと、増田って脚注使えないんだっけ((脚注のテスト))? いくつか注入れたいところがあるのだが、無理っぽいのでアナログな手法を取ることにした。若干読みづらいかもしれないが堪忍してほしい。
追記: Twitterで書いたんだけど、わざわざ時間を割いて（2時間くらいかかった）この作業をしたのは、YouTubeの自動生成字幕の、8割くらいは合ってるんだけどあとはめちゃくちゃという文面が善意で拡散されることを防ぎたかったため。元の主張を拡散したかったのではなく、誤った情報（変な英語）が拡散されるのを防ぎたかったのです。その点、ご理解をよろしくお願いします。
ソース動画: ※ユーザーにより削除済み（2020年2月20日朝確認）
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vtHYZkLuKcI
Diamond Princess is COVID-19 mill. How I got in the ship and was removed from it within one day. - 2020/02/18, kentaro iwata
Hello. My name is Professor Kentaro Iwata. I am a specialist of infectious diseases at Kobe University Hospital, Kobe, Japan.
Today I entered into[sic]*1 the cruise ship the Diamond Princess, which is, erm, bombarded by a lot of COVID-19 infeciton right now.
And I was removed from the ship on the same day and I'm gonna talk to you why this happened.
I was very concerned of the number of the people who got infected with the COVID-19 disease infections. Then I was wondering why this is[sic](was)*2 happening. I wanted to enter into the cruise ship and wanted to be useful in helping to containing infection there.
I spoke with several people and finally one officer at working for Ministry of Health and Labor called me yesterday, saying that well you can come and enter into a cruise ship and do the infection control works.
And I said fine then I prepared my stuff and I did all the paperworks and arrangement and got onto the Shinkansen from Kobe to Yokohama.
On the way to go to Yokohama I got another call from the same officer, saying, "Somebody didn't like me. So you can't get into the cruise ship." He was not able to say who, and he was not able to say why, but certainly some power over him affected his decision and I was blocked from entering into the ship.
Then after several discussions he found another way that if you could come as a DMAT member, you can come into the the cruise ship. DMAT is the disaster management medical team in Japan and usually deals with a disaster not infectious diseases, but because of the lack of the people who could help people inside a cruise ship to get out of the ship, or the managing of people, and so on, DMAT was requested to enter into the cruise ship.
Because my specialty is not disaster management, so I was not very happy about that, but because we had no other way I said, "Fine, I'll do that."
Additionally, I got another call that some people didn't like me getting into the cruise ship present even as a DMAT member. So another discussion happened then the I waited about one hour in Shin Yokohama Station, and finally the officer find a way. [He said] that "If you work for DMAT not as an infection prevention specialist but as an ordinary routine DMAT officer working under (inaudible01) DMAT doctor doing a routine job, then you could come into the cruise ship."
I was not very happy with that decision, but because there's no other way, so I said, "Fine, I'll get into the ship."
I entered the ship. Then I found the chief officer of the DMAT and spoke with him. I said, "Well I was assigned to the DMAT members (inaudible02) out whatever you want to say." Then he said, "Well, you don't have to work DMAT work because that's not your specialty. You are an infection prevention specialist, so why don't you do the infection control." Then I said, "Fine, I spoke with the superior of him who is[sic](was) in charge of the all the DMAT operations, and he also said, "You are an infection control person, so you should do infection control." I said, "Fine." But he said, "Well, you shouldn't be here as a DMAT member. You should come as (inaudible03) infection control specialist." He was not very happy about that while I was inside the DMAT. But because that was not my decision, there was no other way. So I said, "Well I have to do it."
I looked into the several places inside the ship and it turned out that the cruise ship was completely inadequate in terms of infection control.
There was no distinction between the Green Zone, which is free of infection, and the Red Zone, which is potentially contaminated by the virus.
So the people could come and go, (inaudible04) a PPE, off PPE. Crews were just walking around, the officers of the Ministry Health and Labor were walking around, DMAT people were walking around, psychiatrists were walking around.
And people were eating on the one plate. People were wearing PPE and off PPE, and eating lunch with their gloves on, and just dealing with the smartphone with full PPE, so it was completely chaotic.
And some crews had a fever. They went to the medical center while wearing N95 masks. But he didn't have any protection between his room and a medical room.
And the medical officer was not protecting herself. And she was very unhappy, saying that well she was already infected. I'm sure about that. She was completely giving up protecting herself.
Anyways I (have) dealt with a lots of infections (for) more than twenty years. I was in Africa dealing with the Ebola outbreak. I was in another country dealing with the cholera outbreak. I was in China in 2003 to deal with the SARS, and I saw many febrile patients there. I never had fear of getting infection myself for Ebola, SARS, (and) cholera, because I know[sic](knew) how to protect myself and how to protect others, and how the infection control should be. So I could do the adequate infection control; protect myself, and protect others.
But inside (the) Princess Diamond, I was so scared. I was so scared of getting COVID-19 because there was no way to tell where the virus is. No Green Zone, no Red Zone. Everywhere could have the virus and everybody was not careful about it.
There was no single professional infection control person inside the ship. And there was nobody in charge of infection prevention as a professional. The bureaucrats were in charge of everything.
I spoke with the head officer of the Ministry of Health and Labor and he was very unhappy with my suggestion of protecting DMAT people and other staffs so that no other secondary transmission would occur.
Then after several hours of talking to people and finding problems, I found a lot of issues there. For example, informed consent of getting a PCR from the people in the ship whereas(? inaudible05) on a paper, and that paper was going back and forth, back and forth with the room of the infection from the paper, by touching there[sic](it). So I suggested that maybe it's better to abandon the paper-type informed consent but rather getting the informed consent verbally would be more protective, and so on and so on.
I think I was reasonable. I never yell at anybody, I never criticize anybody personally, but I was trying to be constructive that we try to seek the constructive but immediate improvement to protect everybody inside the ship.
※このあたりから、独自に聞き取っておいてから字幕と照らし合わせるという方法に切り替えたので、ことばとことばの間のandなどを書かない頻度が増えます。
Then about five o'clock, the person from the quarantine office came in and approaced. (He) said, "Well you have to be out because you'll not be allowed inside the ship." Because I was inside the ship as a temporary officer of the quarantine. Apparently my bank(? inaudible06) was removed by somebody, and nobody said who, and then I was out.
The officer who offered me the job of infection control said he was sorry. Then I asked him, "So what do you wanna do? Do you want to infect everybody in the ship? It will be thousands of people who could potentially get COVID-19.
I don't criticize DMAT people. They were infection control specialists. Society of Infection Prevention entered, a lot of specialists came in, but they spent only a few days and they left. And they said they were fearful of getting infections themwelves.
I share the same fear. Because I'm in the same room now, and I separated from my family, I'm very scared of getting infection myself and I'm very scared of infecting my family too.
I'll be out of my medical services at Kobe University Hospital for maybe next two weeks to avoid further infections to occur. That is very likely to occur if you keep zero infection control inside the ship, the Diamond Princess, like this.
You might know that there is no CDC*3 in Japan, but I thought there must be some specialists called on and was[sic](were) in charge of infection control in ship. It's not expecting[sic](expected) (that) nobody was a professional infection control specialist, and (that) only the bureaucrats were doing the jobs, completely layman's work, violatiing all the infection control principles and risking people inside (of*4) further infections, so I'm not very surprised to see many new positive PCR to be broadcasted every day.
Hundreds of people got infected and a lot of people from outside Japan decided to take the people away from the ship and bring them to their home countries by airplane and offered them another 14 days of quarantine. I hope this will be an opportunity to raise a question (about) what is happening inside the ship.
I wish all the international bodies to request Japan to change. I wish everybody to call for the protection of people inside the Diamond Princess. Otherwise there'll be far more infections for passengers, for crews, for DMAT members, for psychiatrists, for officer(s) of the Ministry of Health and Labor. DMAT members consist of nurses and doctors and that they will go back to the hospital they work routinely and they might infect their patients further to spread the disease. I can't bear with it. I can't bear with it.
I think we have to change. We have to do something about these crews and we have to help people inside the ship, their safety and their life.
Again, I am Professor Kentaro Iwata, infectious disease specialist. Thank you for listening.
【注】
＊1: enterは他動詞なので本来はintoは不要。クソリプのような語注だが、英語教材屋なのでそこはすまん。今回は、原文尊重（編集を加えないこと）の観点からそのままintoをつけておくことにした。
＊2: 時制の一致でwasにしたほうがよいところ。これ系の文法ミスはほかにもごく少数含まれているが、原文尊重（編集を加えないこと）の観点から、そのまま文字起こしして、より望ましいと思われる語形をカッコで書き添えるようにした。本来、何も書かずにサクッと直すようなところだが、今回は編集者の処理が見えるようにすることが重要と考えた。
＊3: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 米国の政府機関。
＊4: risk ～ of ... という構文はたぶんないと思うが、書かれた言葉としてはここに何かないと文意が成立しないと思うので、便宜上ofを補っておく。
BBCが岩田教授にインタビューして、日本語記事を英語に先行して出しているので見るとよいと思う。このYouTube動画で説明されていなかった具体的なことも記者との質疑応答で説明されている。映像3分17秒。
感染症の専門家、客船内の感染対策を批判 BBCが取材: https://www.bbc.com/japanese/video-51556982
