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はてなキーワード: Alwaysとは
If you search for tenderness, it isn't hard to find.
You can have the love you need to live.
But if you look for truthfulness, You might just as well be blind.
It always seems to be so hard to give.
Honesty is such a lonely word.
Everyone is so untrue.
And mostly what I need from you.
にあるように「みんな不誠実だから」が正解だと思う
この曲は悲観的だけど「だからこそ君から求めているんだ」というのが現代社会の誠実さではないか
成功者ほど自分の成功の要因をすべて自分の努力によるものと錯覚しやすいという話がある
傲慢は誠実だろうか
9月の記事。著作のアメリカの根幹にある「実力主義」批判を新聞記事用にしたものらしい。
バイデンはアイビーリーグの出身ではないことは、近年労働者階級からの支持されるのに苦心していた共和党が勝つ要因になるかもしれない。そして彼の経歴は、現代リベラリズムを規定する meritocratic political project を再考するよう促すだろう。現代アメリカの実力主義は学歴重視と強く結びついていて、アメリカで成功するためには学歴を得るしかない。そのため、実力主義という考えは、「高学歴でなく、経済的に成功していない人は、自業自得である。」という考えと表裏一体である。高学歴な人物が教育水準の低い人に偏見を持つことは、研究調査でもあきらかにされており、加えて当人たちはその偏見を当然のものとしている。
議会の構成比に話が飛ぶ。アメリカ人の2/3が大学卒でない一方、議会の成員のほとんどが学部卒以上であり、ブルーカラーを経験した人物もほとんどいない。数少ない大学卒が議員となり、多くの非大学卒たちを統治しているのが現状である。テクノクラートによる統治だけでいいか直ちに疑問が生じるだろうし、個人のcivic virtueはエリート大学に入る能力との相関はほとんどないことが歴史上示されている。
結論部は省略する。だから自分の書いたことだけななめ読みしてあーだこーだいうのは不毛だと思う。
At the heart of this project are two ideas: First, in a global, technological age, higher education is the key to upward mobility, material success and social esteem. Second, if everyone has an equal chance to rise, those who land on top deserve the rewards their talents bring.
But the politicians espousing it have missed the insult implicit in the meritocratic society they are offering: If you did not go to college, and if you are not flourishing in the new economy, your failure must be your own fault.
サンデルの主張と他人の研究の紹介部分が区別できていない人がいるけれど、翻訳部分自体はほとんど研究紹介と歴史的事実だから、これ自体をサンデルの発言として取り出すことは難しい。
彼自身の主張を知りたいなら、(必要ならDeepLなど機械翻訳使って)元記事を読むべき。結論部分だけなら、 'Some might argue that' 以下から読むと短くていいのではないか。
勉強になるので、なにかあれば教えてください。
By 2016, many working people... : このbyは「～まで」のby?それ以降ぱたりと、見下される感覚に悩まされることがなくなったわけではないだろうから、調査がいつまで行われたのかと関連しているのか?
At a time when racism and sexism are out of favor (discredited though not eliminated) : （これらの差別は）信憑性がないと示されたが、しかし排除されるまでには至っていない
credentialism is the last acceptable prejudice. :この時代において、学歴偏重主義は最も容認できない偏見である。
By the 2000s, citizens without a college degree were... :このbyも。そして21世紀か、2000年代。 1970s~2000sまでが締め出されていた時期で、とすると後ろの「この五年間改善傾向にない」と矛盾するような。
Although the well-educated have always been disproportionately represented in Congress, :高学歴層はつねに実際の人口比よりも多く選出されてきたが。
as recently as the early 1960s, about one-fourth of our elected representatives lacked a college degree. : 1960年代までは。
Over the past half-decade, : 過去5年。このoverも自分は意味がとれない。ここ5年間かけて(over)、race, ethnicity and genderの比率は適正へ向けて改善傾向にあるが、学歴と階級については多様性が失われたということでいいのか？なぜ5年なのか文脈がわからない。トランプ政権と対応？50年と読んだほうが前後はつながりそうにみえる。
海乱鬼 @nipponkairagi
N「社内では把握しておりません」
N「はい。仰る通りです」
私「金さんは朝鮮学校の中学生。日本の学校で苛めは受けていませんよ」
私「総連は公安監視対象団体であり、拉致にも関わっている。Nikeが総連に協力を求め、日本人差別の捏造をしたとしたら大問題では？」
N「確かに仰る通りです」
私「事実関係を確認し、HPやTwitter等での説明を求めす」
受付の対応は非常に良かったです。
@downtown_middle
@Rintaro28502769
Korean propaganda is always made out of fabrication and lies.
In fact, there’ve been a series of violent incidents, such as the Kansai ready-mixed concrete incident,
in which Japanese people are threatened and killed They have something in common with BLM and ANTIFA.
@xxnmxx55
タトゥーだって元軍人とかならばともかくそれ以外は教会で悪口を言われた云々とかやってるし
クラブとか海ならなんも言わんだろうけどそれ以外は場所とシチュエーション次第なんだが？
Tattoos, Piercings, and Credibility
Of the nearly 2,700 people we surveyed, 12% reported having a visible tattoo that can be seen by managers and co-workers during the workday. Only 3% reported having a visible body piercing (other than an earring).
The biggest takeaways from our survey include a whopping 76% of respondents feel tattoos and piercings hurt an applicant’s chances of being hired during a job interview. And more than one-third – 39% of those surveyed – believe employees with tattoos and piercings reflect poorly on their employers. Furthermore, 42% feel visible tattoos are always inappropriate at work, with 55% reporting the same thing about body piercings.
Fortunately, only 4% of those with tattoos and piercings report having faced actual discrimination because of their ink and body art.
調査対象となった約2,700人のうち、12%の人が、勤務中に上司や同僚に見られるようなタトゥーを入れていると報告しています。
ピアス（イヤリング以外）をつけていると答えたのはわずか3%でした。
調査から得られた最大の収穫は、回答者の76%が、タトゥーやピアスが面接採用に悪影響を与える可能性を感じているとのことです。
また、3分の1以上（調査対象者の39％）が、タトゥーやピアスをしている従業員は、雇用主に悪い印象を与えると考えています。
さらに、42%は、目に見えるタトゥーは常に職場では不適切だと感じており、55%はボディピアスについても同様のことを報告しています。
幸いなことに、タトゥーやピアスをしている人のうち、インクやボディアートが原因で実際に差別に直面したことがあると報告しているのは、
わずか4%に過ぎません。
Tattoos Hurt Your Chances of Getting a Job
https://www.salary.com/articles/tattoos-hurt-chances-getting-job/
なお上記はカンザス州の企業。でも保守的な地域でなくともドレスコードで見えるところは禁止ってやってるとこ少なくないよ
最近は緩和されてきたみたいだが
ttps://twitter.com/wimgrommen/status/1306500698012557312
From 2008, central banks have prevented a global stock market crash by their policies, but are out of ammunition to prevent deflation, including deflation in the stock markets
I would like to write about what I know and understand about the Soka Gakkai because the D.C. Times published an article titled "China's Manipulation of Japan, NPOs and Soka Gakkai Act as Pipeline = U.S. Think Tank Report".
First of all, as a premise, the Soka Gakkai is a cult.
This is because there is a definition of a religious cult, and the reality of the Soka Gakkai falls under that definition in many ways.
You can read more about the definition of a religious cult and mind control in the book "Combating Cult Mind Control: The #1 Best-selling Guide to Protection, Rescue, and Recovery from Destructive Cults ".
The Soka Gakkai is also a collection of criminals, sick people and poor people.
In fact, the Soka Gakkai is similar to the mafia gangs in Italy and Mexico, and it has reigned as the largest criminal and anti-society organization in Japan in the name of a religious organization.
Many of its members have been brainwashed and are unable to recognize and judge themselves as normal human beings.
In the 1950s and 1980s, Soka Gakkai members were forcibly recruited to join the Soka Gakkai, and nowadays, it is estimated that about 10% of the Japanese people are members of the Gakkai (Soka Gakkai members).
In particular, the Soka Gakkai has infiltrated civil servants, specifically the police force, the fire department, and the Self-Defense Forces, and it has been revealed that 20 to 30% of the Metropolitan Police Department's employees are members of the Soka Gakkai.
There is always a certain percentage of Soka Gakkai members in elementary, middle, and high school classes, and in corporate workplaces, and therefore it is taboo to criticize the Soka Gakkai in those communities.
This is because the Gakkai members in each community monitor the words and actions of their community members in the same way as the mainland communists who have infiltrated Hong Kong, and if someone speaks out against the Soka Gakkai, they will target that person and initiate a campaign of sabotage.
The sabotage is similar to the CPC's repressive actions against human rights activists in Hong Kong, including obstructing, harassing, and following them around, an act that has been described as mass stalking.
For example, in Japan, if you make a placating statement in a school class or at work that the Soka Gakkai is a cult religious group because it meets the definition of a cult group, members of the Gakkai in the community get madly angry (depending on the degree of mind control they are receiving) or bite off their anger to deny the statement.
Then they label the person who made such a statement as "anti", and they also share information about the antis with other members of the Soka Gakkai, and begin to perceive them as "beings to be punished by Buddha", to be targets of surveillance and group attacks.
In reality, however, the definition of a religious cult was not defined for the Soka Gakkai but for dangerous religious groups such as Aum Shinrikyo and People's Temple, which were intended to prevent ordinary people from being harmed by them.
The Soka Gakkai falls under the definition of a cult because the Soka Gakkai has cult-like tendencies.
When Soka Gakkai members are pointed out to the Soka Gakkai, instead of thinking "Let's fix what's wrong with my religious group," they think of suppressing their critics (anti) and silencing them, which is a pattern of thinking and behavior of a fanatic of a religious cult, and the sarin gas attack (terrorism). I feel that the followers of Aum Shinrikyo at the time when it was founded must have had a similar pattern of thinking and behavior.
Believers in cult groups are unconsciously mind-controlled and brainwashed, so they don't think that they should change their way of thinking and behavior when criticism is pointed out to them. In this respect, their attitude is similar to that of the Chinese Communist Party towards the demands of human rights activists in Hong Kong, i.e., the fanatics of cult groups such as the Soka Gakkai are not normal human beings.
By the way, there is an organization called JCP in Japan, which is also anti-American and illegal in the United States.
It is well known that some anti-American organizations cooperate with each other in order to undermine this country by signing a pact called "Soko Kyodo Agreement" and facilitating agents of anti-Japanese and anti-American groups.
It is obvious that the JCP is an anti-American terrorist organization in nature and that the JCP is a cult-like organization when it signs an agreement with a religious cult.
From another point of view, the Soka Gakkai, to its followers, appears to be a huge organization that carries out fraudulent and criminal activities such as Ponzi schemes and network businesses. It also has elements of a black business, and believers who join the Soka Gakkai are becoming materially and mentally exhausted.
The following blog, run by Mr. Sinifié, exposes the reality of the Soka Gakkai. It contains the testimonies and experiences of many current and former Soka Gakkai members and ex-members who have left the Gakkai.
It is clear that this reality of the Soka Gakkai is far removed from the original role of religion, which is to provide individuals with peace of mind and spiritual support.
As the saying goes, "like begets friend," it is only natural for the Soka Gakkai to try to maintain a good relationship with the CPC.
However, many Chinese who have worked in Japan seem to dislike the Soka Gakkai and return to their countries.
Although the Soka Gakkai employs a different strategy than Aum Shinrikyo and has infiltrated many organizations such as corporations, police, fire departments, the Self-Defense Forces, and local government officials, the Soka Gakkai members who have infiltrated the Kasumigaseki bureaucracy and the Self-Defense Forces are considered dangerous to the U.S. because they are inherently dangerous.
Because they are essentially anti-American and may act as agents to cooperate with the CPC.
There are some findings that are common knowledge among intellectuals in the U.S. and Europe but have not been made known to the Japanese people in Japan because the media and bureaucrats have stopped them.
One of them is that the Soka Gakkai headquarters has been sending donations from Gakkai members to Noriega (former general, now imprisoned) in Panama for large-scale tax evasion and money laundering.
Noriega received a large amount of money from Daisaku Ikeda of the Soka Gakkai and invested it in his own drug business, spreading drugs on an international level.
Daisaku Ikeda of the Soka Gakkai has been investing and managing the donations collected from Gakkai members in Noriega's drug business as well as tax evasion and money laundering. At the same time, the Soka Gakkai and Daisaku Ikeda invested the donations they received from Gakkai members in Noriega's drug business as a means of tax evasion and money laundering, and returned the profits to the domestic market to help the Soka Gakkai executives line their pockets and build Soka Gakkai facilities and Soka University.
The fact that Daisaku Ikeda raised Noriega's profile in the Seikyo Shimbun during the same period must be undeniable to those Gakkai members who have subscribed to the Seikyo Shimbun.
In particular, there are many Gakkai members at the level of police organizations, the Metropolitan Police Department and prefectures, who have been causing social problems and covering up crimes committed by Gakkai members in Japan.
Well, if they are in a state of unconscious brainwashing and mind control, they may not believe the contents, and may assume a pattern of behavior such as getting angry, grumpy, or attacking the writer.
In other words, one can expect a lot of denial of facts like the followers of Aum Shinrikyo, which is easy to expect, but this (the issue of Soka Gakkai and drug business, tax evasion, and money laundering) is a fact that was revealed because Noriega was arrested and imprisoned for spreading drugs in the US. This is a fact that is well known as common knowledge in the U.S. and Europe.
The fact that the Soka Gakkai is a criminal organization is very difficult to deny.
「今回ばかりは、xxさんも言ってるし、これこそ大問題に違いない！！」という思考様式は、
愚民、などと言い捨てるほどに自分が愚かでないとも思っていない。
正確に言えば、自分を愚かだと感じるし、上記の人々を愚かだと感じる。
わからないことだらけなんだ、という前提で、でも自分で決めるしかないね、
「xxはxxxです！！！」という言い切り、
例えば
「日本は対策が遅れているので２週間後には死者で溢れ地獄となります！！！」とか
兵長なら言うだろうか。
判断に足るほどの情報を収集・分析するのは、多くの人（立場）にとって困難なことだ。
その手前で言い切ってしまう様子は、距離と角度次第で、誰の目からも滑稽なはずなのだが。
だが自分もついやっている。あの人もやっている。気付くのはいつも後になってから。
愚かだよな、私は。あなたたちは。
その１https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20200327214055
12 Dr. Hiroshi Nishiura is one of the few professionals of mathematical models of infectious diseases in Japan, and it is well known that his ability is outstanding. However, many people don't understand mathematical models themselves (I must confess that I can't say that I understand all of the findings because I'm not a professional of mathematical models either), so his findings and comments are easily deified. Because the contents of the mathematical model are a complete black box to many people, it makes it seem like the oracle is coming out like a shrine's oracle. Much of Japan's infection control policy relies on the Nishiura theory. So there is nothing wrong with that, but one of the problems in Japan is that there is no plan B in case plan A goes bust. Dr. Nishiura is an excellent scholar. It is not God. Hence the need to have that Plan B with the possibility of making a mistake. I am greatly concerned that bureaucrats and politicians who are prone to infallibilism will mistake science for an oracle. It is only when falsifiability is assured that science can continue to be scientific.
感想：おみくじと神託が同じoracleだったので変な文章になったが直していない。
13 数理モデルは演繹法の活用産物である。演繹法は帰納法やアブダクションで補完するのが、学問の基本であり、臨床医学の常識である。演繹法的にどんなに正しく見えても実はそれは違っていた、ということはこの業界ではよくあることなのだ。ヘーゲルやマルクスのような巨大な知性でも演繹法オンリーでは間違うのである。
Mathematical models are the product of deductive methods. The deductive method is complemented by the inductive or abduction method, which is the basis of scholarship and the common sense of clinical medicine. It's a common occurrence in this industry that no matter how deducibly correct it may seem, it's actually not true. Even a huge intellect like Hegel or Marx can make a mistake by deduction alone.
感想：「蓋を開けてみれば」を「実はそれは」に変更した。
14 モデルを使うな、といっているのでは決してない。ぼく自身、モデルを用いて論文を書く。しかし、モデルは無謬ではなく、そこには前提である仮定があり、仮定はしばしば間違っている。グラム染色を活用するとは、グラム染色にできないこと、分からないことを知悉していることであり、グラム染色万能論者にグラム染色は使えない。同じことだ。英国でも数理モデルは活用されているが、だからこそ英国人はその結語には非常に懐疑的で、常に反論、異論が起きている。健全で科学的な態度である。
I'm not saying don't use the model at all. I myself write a paper using a model. However, the model is not infallible, there are assumptions that are assumptions, and the assumptions are often wrong. Making use of Gram's stain means having full knowledge of what Gram's stain cannot do and does not understand, and Gram's stain cannot be used by Gram's stain universalists. It's the same thing. Mathematical models are also utilized in the UK, which is why Brits are very sceptical of their conclusions, and there are always counter-arguments and objections. It is a sound and scientific attitude.
感想：「前提たる仮定」がうまく訳せていなかったので「前提である仮定」にしたが、assumptions that are assumptionsになってしまった。
「英国人は」がないと主語がIになってしまったので追加した。しかしBritsじゃ意味違うよ。もっと正しく訳してくれない？
15 Japan's "now" is a well-controlled state of infection, which is much better than Wuhan at its worst, or Italy, Spain, France, England, or New York at the present time. The problem is that it doesn't guarantee that it will "always work".
16 懸念されるのは東京だ。感染報告が増えたことだけが問題なのではない。クラスターを形成できない、トレースできない感染者が増えているのが問題である。そして、その陽性患者数に比べて検査数がずっと少ない。47人の感染者を捕捉するために100人未満（陽性者の検査日が不明だが、おそらくこのへんだろう）しか検査していないのは少なすぎる。
It is Tokyo that is of concern. The increase in reports of infection is not the only problem. The problem is that more and more infected people are unable to form clusters and cannot be traced. And the number of tests is much lower than that number of positive cases; it's too little that they only tested less than 100 people (the date of testing for the positives is unknown, but it's probably around here) to capture 47 infected people.
Again, it's not necessary to figure out all the infected people. However, it is troubling that the flow of infection, movement and clusters are out of sight. Therefore, the threshold for testing must be lowered in Tokyo. The threshold for testing varies with the circumstances. That's what I explained with the Korean example. Sticking to the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare's "standards" will lead to a misunderstanding of the phenomenon itself. Already in the Kansai region, infected people have been found with taste and smell abnormalities, and clusters have been detected from there. I would like to make more use of the athletic sensibilities of these clinicians. I'm not sure "where" in Tokyo is the barrier to lowering the number of inspections, but that barrier needs to be removed immediately.
感想：「捕捉するのに」を「捕捉するために」に変更した。多分これでいいと思う。思いたい。
アスチュートがathleticになっているのはどう反応したらいいかわからない。
17 This conceptual diagram that everyone is looking at - lowering the peak of the infection and shifting it to the side. This is all a product of deduction, and I don't know if it's really true. As mentioned above, the UK estimates already suggest that this is not enough. It is possible that the damage that was shifted to the side could simply be "extra-long damage".
18 そして、ここが肝心なのだが、ピークを下げるという理念が、「ピークを下げなければいけない」という観念になり、「ピークは下がっているはずだ」という確信になり、「ピークは起きていないんだ」という自己暗示に転じてはいけないということだ。プランAに固執する日本あるあるの失敗のパターンで、ダイヤモンド・プリンセスでは「二次感染が起きてはいけない」が「起きているはずがない」に転じてノーガード下船を許してしまった。「ピークが起きてはいけない」が「ピークなんて見たくない」にならないように現実を見据える必要がある。たとえ、それが我々の見たくない不都合な真実であったとしても。
And this is the key point: the idea of lowering the peak should not become the notion that the peak must be lowered, or the belief that the peak must be lowered, or the self-implication that the peak is not happening. In a pattern of Japanese failure to stick to Plan A, Diamond Princess allowed no-guard disembarkation by changing "secondary infection should not occur" to "it can't have happened". We need to keep our eyes on reality so that "peak shouldn't happen" doesn't become "I don't want to see a peak. Even if it is an inconvenient truth that we don't want to see.
感想：mustが違う文脈で二回出てきている。よくわかるように変更したいものだ。
カギカッコがないとうまく訳せなかったので追加しているが、なぜかカッコ閉じるがいくつか抜けている。この箇所以外にも抜けがある。
19 Repeatedly. It's common knowledge in this industry that deductive methods are complemented by inductive methods. Nevertheless, PCR is often false-negative and has little power to determine the status of infection. That's why "testing everything" is so wrong. However, a serum test measuring immunoglobulin IgM and IgG would provide a more accurate picture of the "status of infection in the population. This, however, is not infallible. It is difficult to use for individual cases because it misses early infection, which is why it misses early HIV infection.Whether antibody testing is useful in individual cases remains to be tested, but it is well suited for epidemiological studies on a population basis. Roughly speaking, we can confirm whether the "infection is rampant" in Tokyo right now, or whether it's just an unfounded fear.
前例としては、ロンドンの血清検査で09年パンデミックインフルエンザが従来予測の10倍起きていたことが血清検査でわかっている。抗体検査はアウトブレイクのあとで事後的に行うことが多いが、慢性的パンデミックになりつつあるCOVID-19については、「今」こそが検証のポイントといって良い。
As a precedent, serology tests in London showed that the 2009 pandemic flu was 10 times more likely than previously predicted. Antibody testing is often performed after an outbreak, but now is a good time to examine COVID-19, which is becoming a chronic pandemic.
感想：「前例はあって」を「前例としては」に変えた。「前例はある。なおかつロンドンで〜１０倍起きていた」になってしまったからだ。
20 英国はさらにアグレッシブだ。家庭で抗体検査を行い、「感染者である」とわかればそれを自宅での自己隔離の根拠に使おうというのだ。ロックダウンが起きている中で、検査陰性は「自己隔離不要」を意味しないため、その戦略に欠陥はある。が、考え方としては「感染全体を抑え込みたい」というもので、検討の価値はあると思う。
The UK is even more aggressive. The idea is to test for antibodies at home, and if they are found to be infected, they will use it as a basis for self-isolation at home. That strategy is flawed because with the lockdown in place, a negative test does not mean "no self-sequestration". However, the idea is that we want to control the infection as a whole, and I think it is worth considering.
21 東京でどのくらいの感染が起きているか、帰納法的確認は必要であり、有用だ。その結果がどうなるかは預言者ではないぼくには分からない。が、どんな結果が出てきても、それを受け入れ、場合によっては自説を変えて、プランBに移行することにも躊躇しない態度が科学者には必要だ。科学者は、首尾一貫していないことにかけて、首尾一貫していなければならないのだ。形式においては首尾一貫していなくても、プリンシプルやプロフェッショナリズムにおいて一貫しなければならないのだ。事実に誠意を。
Inductive legal confirmation of how many infections are occurring in Tokyo is necessary and useful. I'm not a prophet, so I don't know what the outcome will be.However, no matter what the outcome, scientists need to accept it and not hesitate to change their thesis and move on to Plan B in some cases. Scientists have to be coherent in their inconsistencies.They may not be coherent in form, but they must be coherent in principles and professionalism. Good faith in the facts.
感想：首尾一貫という言葉を使いすぎて文章をアホっぽくしてしまったが他にいい方法が思いつかない。朝三暮四は理解してくれなかった。「自説を曲げ」は「自説を変えて」に変更した。
文章はもう少し整形できると思うがとりあえずこれで。
https://georgebest1969.typepad.jp/blog/2020/03/事実に誠意を.html
これが原文です。
外国から問い合わせが来ているけれども時間がなくて訳せないということで、DeepLの性能確認ついでにやってみました。
この私訳と岩田健太郎先生は無関係なのでよろしくお願いします。
訳された文章を原文と見比べ、翻訳で文章がおかしくなったところや慣用句は「必ず日本語側の文章をいじることで」できるだけ解消しました。
よって改変した文章だけをこちらに載せ、改変する必要がなかったところは段落番号しか載せていません。元文章は元ブログを当たってください。
英語に詳しいパーソンが精査していただけると幸いです。
1 Most of what I'm about to write is no different from what I've said and done in the past. However, I have been asked the same question repeatedly, so I would like to reiterate it. We have received many inquiries from overseas as well, so we should have prepared the same content in English, but due to time constraints, I'm afraid I'll have to skip it. This article is designed to be read without basic knowledge of infectious diseases and jargon, but it is rather difficult to understand. Please forgive me for that.
感想：「Chromeかなにかでそれぞれ母国語に訳してお読みいただけると幸いです。」がきれいさっぱり消えている。DeepLの自負心だろう。
2 The fact that the number of COVID-19 reports in Japan is very low compared to other countries is attracting attention from home and abroad. Is it true? It has been pointed out that the number of tests is so small that we may be misreading the actual number of infected people.
3 However, this point is wrong at various layers. In the first place, Japan does not aim to capture all the numbers of COVID-19. Whether it's administrative testing or insured care, the state basically has a testing strategy in mind to diagnose, hospitalize, and isolate critically ill patients who need to be hospitalized. It is natural that they "haven't figured it out" and they don't intend to. That's not a bad thing.In fact, the situation is the same in every country, large or small, and no country, whether in the United States, Europe, or Asia, is aiming to "capture the whole number.
感想：最後の文はなぜか他の文と一緒に入力すると訳してくれなかった。この文一つだけ入力すると訳してくれた。
よく考えると「多かれ少なかれ」は通じないだろうから直した方がよかった。なぜかDeepLに繋がらなくなったのでもう直せない。
WHOもそんなことは求めていない。もっとも、そのわりに日本は帰国者無症状者にPCRをやってみたり、無症状な検査陽性者を入院隔離させてみたり（軽症者は自宅じゃなかったの？）、プリンシプルにおいて首尾一貫していない。だから、「彼らがなにがやりたいか私たちはよくわからない」ので、人々は不安になる。リスコミにおける失敗と言えよう。
The WHO is not asking for such a thing. But instead, Japan gives PCR to asymptomatic returnees and isolates asymptomatic test-positive people in hospital (wasn't it home for people with minor illnesses?). It has not been coherent in its principles. So, people get anxious because "we're not sure what they want to do". It's a failure in the press.
感想：「なにがやりたいかよくわからない」に主語を付与する必要があった。リスコミがpressになった。よくわかったな。
「〜は自宅じゃなかったの？）、」の、が.になっているのがよくわからない。なぜかDeepLに繋がらなくなったのでもう直せない。
4 The difference between Korea and Japan is the "result" and not the "purpose". In South Korea, where the number of infected people had surged in one place, we had to focus on inspections in and around the area. If such a phenomenon (let's call it an overshoot) occurs in Japan, the number of inspections will increase. When the situation is different, arguing only on the basis of the number of tests without observing the situation is like trying to say, "That team made 50 sliding tackles while this team made only one," without watching a football game. In games where you don't have to slide (e.g., when you're in possession the whole time), even 0 times isn't a "mistake," and of course 50 times isn't a mistake.
5 全数把握ができていない疾患など山のようにある。日本ではインフルエンザの「全数」把握はしておらず、定点観測である。疫学上、感染対策上、それで十分な情報が得られているからだ。日本で毎年風邪が何例発生しているか、正確に把握したデータはない。レセプトデータを見ればわかるじゃないか、というのも間違いで、なぜなら多くの風邪患者は（ぼくのように）受診せずに自然に治るまで待っている。医療に限らず、経済学でも政治学でもデータはサンプリングから母数を推定するのがほとんどで、「全数」は非効率的な状態把握法なのだ。
There are many diseases for which the total number of patients is not known. In Japan, we do not have a "total" number of influenza cases, but only a fixed-point observation. Because that's enough information, both epidemiologically and in terms of infection control. There is no accurate data on how many cases of the common cold occur each year in Japan. It's also a mistake to say that you can tell by looking at the receipt data, because many cold patients (like me) don't see a doctor and wait until they are cured naturally. Not only in medicine, but also in economics and political science, data are mostly based on sampling to estimate population numbers, and "whole numbers" is an inefficient way of grasping the situation.
感想：ちょこちょこ変えてある。日本語の文章が多少おかしくなっているのは勘弁してほしい。接続詞を適切に入れると格段に翻訳が正確になる。
6 We have not seen the devastation in Japan as in Italy, Spain or New York City. There is no medical collapse in a critically ill patient, no use of the operating room as an ICU, no piling up of bodies on a skating rink with no place to put them. Even if the "numbers" are not known, it is a fact that the current situation in Japan (including Tokyo) is much better controlled than in other countries.
7 Even so, you may be interested in "Well, what about the actual situation? There are estimates. For example, Dr. Hiroshi Nishiura and his group estimate that the number of mild illnesses in Japan may be twice the reported number. The catch rate is 0.44, with a 95% confidence interval of 0.37-0.50.
8 Although the study was based on data from China, there is no guarantee that the Chinese COVID-19 demographic is the same as the Japanese one. Also, since the original study did not include asymptomatic patients or those with minor illnesses that did not require hospitalization, the number of infected patients estimated on that basis would inevitably be an underestimate. If you are more paranoid, it's not unreasonable to believe that "the Japanese and Chinese viruses are different because of the mutation" (although I don't think so).
9 This does not diminish the value of the paper itself. The model must always use existing parameters, and it is often impossible to prove the external validity of these parameters. If the underlying parameters are not reasonable, the predictions will not be correct. A model assumes a simplified world insofar as it is a model. A model without simplification, which is an adjectival contradiction.
数理モデルのこうした「前提」にイチャモンを付けるのは、例えばAという疾患を対象にランダム化比較試験をしたときに、「Bという疾患については説明できないじゃないか」と文句を言うようなもので、業界の仁義に反する意味のない揚げ足取りである。
To complain about these "assumptions" of the mathematical model is like complaining, for example, "You can't explain disease B," when a randomized controlled trial is conducted for disease A. This is a meaningless tirade against the honor of the industry.
感想；「分からない」を「説明できない」に変えた。多分これでいいと思う。思いたい。
However, it is different for the reader of the paper.
A mathematical model that assumes a certain hypothesis should have internal academic validity, but it is the responsibility of the reader, as a resident of the real world, to appraise it in the real world.
Aという疾患を対象にしたRCTの知見をBという疾患に使ってはならないように、数理モデルの制限を理解し、現実世界にアプライするときに十分注意するのは当然だ。
Just as the RCT findings for disease A should not be used for disease B, it is natural to understand the limitations of the mathematical model and to be careful when applying it to the real world. For example, it would be wrong to read the paper and conclude that the total number of infected people in Tokyo is about 500 as of March 26.
感想；「読み手は別である」を「読み手にとっては別である」に変更し、「制限や限界」は「limitations and limitations」になったので片方削った。
11 People make mistakes. The models are also wrong. Being wrong is not a big deal. The problem is to notice your mistakes and make corrections. Already, a group at Imperial College London has admitted that its original estimate that the peak of the infection should be moderated was "wrong" and has revised its prediction that the ICU will soon fail if it does not fight the virus fairly aggressively.
We("developer") provides this app to users("you").
While providing our services, we recognize the importance of your privacy and carry out our activities in line with the applicable data protection regulation including the EU General Data Protection Regulation (“GDPR”) and other related laws.
This Privacy Policy aims to specify how we collect, use and disclose your personal data to provide you with the best level of our service.
We collect and process your personal data such as:
identity information including your Instagram username, Instagram full name, user ID, gender,
contact information including your phone number and e-mail address,
online identifiers including Identifier for Vendors (IDFV), Identifier for Advertisers (IDFA) and IP address,
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review your requests, suggestions and complaints regarding our service,
fulfil contractual obligations to you and anyone involved in the process,
monitor metrics such as total number of visitors, traffic and demographic patterns,
show you ads that are more tailored to your interests.
identify and resolve errors, problems or bugs in our products and services,
meet legal and regulatory requirements including compliance with applicable law, respond to requests from public and government authorities, including authorities outside your country of residence and to meet national security or law enforcement requirements.
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to comply with our contractual obligation (for example, providing you with our service),
to comply with our legal obligations,
because of our company’s legitimate interests which include the provision of our mobile application and/or relevant services, provided always that our legitimate interests are not outweighed by any prejudice or harm your rights and freedoms,
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Once we have received notification that you have withdrawn your consent, we will no longer process your information for the purpose(s) to which you originally consented unless there are compelling legitimate grounds for further processing which override your interests, rights and freedoms or for the establishment, exercise or defence of legal claims.
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We will only retain your personal data for as long as necessary to fulfil our collection purposes, including for the purposes of satisfying any legal, accounting, or reporting requirements, and where required for our company to provide services, until the end of the relevant retention period.
To determine the appropriate retention period for personal data, we consider the amount, nature, and sensitivity of the personal data, the potential risk of harm from unauthorized use or disclosure of your personal data, the purposes for which we process your personal data and whether we can achieve those purposes through other means, and the applicable legal requirements. Upon expiry of the applicable retention period, we will securely delete, destroy or anonymize your personal data in accordance with applicable laws and regulations.
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If you have any questions or concerns about our privacy practices or would like to exercise any of the rights mentioned in this Privacy Policy, please contact us via info@followcheckx.com. You may also contact us by postal at our address stated above.
We("developer") provides this app to users("you").
While providing our services, we recognize the importance of your privacy and carry out our activities in line with the applicable data protection regulation including the EU General Data Protection Regulation (“GDPR”) and other related laws.
This Privacy Policy aims to specify how we collect, use and disclose your personal data to provide you with the best level of our service.
We collect and process your personal data such as:
identity information including your Instagram username, Instagram full name, user ID, gender,
contact information including your phone number and e-mail address,
online identifiers including Identifier for Vendors (IDFV), Identifier for Advertisers (IDFA) and IP address,
visual information including your photo,
customer transaction information including your purchase history, payment details, subscription ID, transaction ID, subscription start and end date, receipt of subscription, version of Follower Check +,
behavioural information including your usage activity, language preference, how much time you have spent and your last active time in the Follower Check +,
marketing information including your push notification device token, information about the campaign (advertisement, Instagram phenomenon etc.) you come from, the ads you see in Follower Check +.
Collection Method of Your Personal Data
We collect your personal data in a number of ways, including:
directly from you via e-mail, telephone, mobile application, SMS, printed form and/or other electronic devices.
from publicly available sources of information,
from our own records of how you use Follower Check + services.
We collect, hold, use and disclose your personal data for the purposes including to:
provide you with a better and more personalized level of service,
review your requests, suggestions and complaints regarding our service,
fulfil contractual obligations to you and anyone involved in the process,
monitor metrics such as total number of visitors, traffic and demographic patterns,
show you ads that are more tailored to your interests.
identify and resolve errors, problems or bugs in our products and services,
meet legal and regulatory requirements including compliance with applicable law, respond to requests from public and government authorities, including authorities outside your country of residence and to meet national security or law enforcement requirements.
We collect and process your personal data on the following bases under the GDPR:
to comply with our contractual obligation (for example, providing you with our service),
to comply with our legal obligations,
because of our company’s legitimate interests which include the provision of our mobile application and/or relevant services, provided always that our legitimate interests are not outweighed by any prejudice or harm your rights and freedoms,
to establish, exercise or defend our legal claims before the courts, arbitrations, authorized data protection authorities or similar legal proceedings,
because you have explicitly given us your consent to process your personal data in that manner.
We will only provide you with marketing related information after you have, where legally required to do so, opted in to receive those communications and having provided the opportunity for you to opt out at any time.
Disclosure of Your Personal Data
We disclose your personal data
with our employees, other Follower Check + users, company executives, representatives, suppliers, service providers, business partners and solution partners for the purposes specified in Section 3,
with government and regulatory authorities and other organizations to meet legal and regulatory requirements, or to protect or defend our rights or property in accordance with applicable laws.
For the compliance with the GDPR, we ensure that our suppliers and business or solution partners whether they are located outside the EEA or not, takes appropriate technical and organizational security measures in accordance with applicable data protection laws and use it solely for the purposes specified by us.
Your Rights
If you are from the European Economic Area or in certain countries, you are also entitled (with some exceptions and restrictions) to:
Access: You have the right to request information about how we process your personal data and to obtain a copy of that personal data.
Rectification: You have the right to request the rectification of inaccurate personal data about you and for any incomplete personal information about you to be completed.
Objection: You have the right to object to the processing of your personal information, which is based on our legitimate interests (as described above).
Deletion: You can delete your account by using the corresponding functionality directly on the service.
Automated decision-making: You have the right to object a decision made about you that is based solely on automated processing if that decision produces legal or similarly significant effects concerning you.
Restriction: You have the right to ask us to restrict our processing of your personal data, so that we no longer process that personal data until the restriction is lifted.
Portability: You have the right to receive your personal data, which you have provided to us, in a structured, commonly used and machine-readable format and to have that personal data transmitted to another organization in certain circumstances.
Complaint: You have a right to lodge a complaint with the authorized data protection authority if you have concerns about how we process your personal data. The data protection authority you can lodge a complaint with notably may be that of your habitual residence, where you work or where we are established.
You may, at any time, exercise any of the above rights, by contacting us via info@followcheckx.com together with a proof of your identity, i.e. a copy of your ID card, or passport, or any other valid identifying document.
In some cases, we may not be able to give you access to your personal data that we hold, if making such a disclosure would breach our legal obligations to our other customers or if prevented by any applicable law or regulation.
If you have provided your consent to the collection, processing and transfer of your personal data, you have the right to fully or partly withdraw your consent. To withdraw your consent please follow the opt-out links on any marketing message sent to you or contact us via info@followcheckx.com.
Once we have received notification that you have withdrawn your consent, we will no longer process your information for the purpose(s) to which you originally consented unless there are compelling legitimate grounds for further processing which override your interests, rights and freedoms or for the establishment, exercise or defence of legal claims.
Collection of Children’s Personal Data
We attach great importance of protecting children’s privacy. Therefore, we make an effort to not collect personal data of any children under the age of 13. If you have any concerns about your child’s privacy with respect to our services, or if you believe that your child may have provided his/her personal data to us, please contact us using the details provided below. We ensure to delete such personal data from our records immediately.
Security of Your Personal Data
We take appropriate and reasonable technical and organizational measures to protect your personal data from loss, misuse, unauthorized access, disclosure, alteration, and destruction, taking into account the risks involved in the processing and the nature of the personal data.
Retention of Your Personal Data
We will only retain your personal data for as long as necessary to fulfil our collection purposes, including for the purposes of satisfying any legal, accounting, or reporting requirements, and where required for our company to provide services, until the end of the relevant retention period.
To determine the appropriate retention period for personal data, we consider the amount, nature, and sensitivity of the personal data, the potential risk of harm from unauthorized use or disclosure of your personal data, the purposes for which we process your personal data and whether we can achieve those purposes through other means, and the applicable legal requirements. Upon expiry of the applicable retention period, we will securely delete, destroy or anonymize your personal data in accordance with applicable laws and regulations.
Links to Third Party Sites
Our mobile application includes links to other websites or apps whose privacy practices may differ from those of our companies. If you submit personal information to any of those sites, your information is governed by their Privacy Policies. We encourage you to carefully read the Privacy Policy of any website or app you visit.
Changes to our Privacy Policy
We reserve the right to update and change this Policy from time to time in order to reflect any changes to the way in which we process your personal data or changing legal requirements. Any changes we may make to our Policy in the future will be posted on this page and, where appropriate, notified to you by e-mail or push notification. Please check back frequently to see any updates or changes to our Policy.
Contact us
If you have any questions or concerns about our privacy practices or would like to exercise any of the rights mentioned in this Privacy Policy, please contact us via info@followcheckx.com. You may also contact us by postal at our address stated above.
元増田です。
サマーズの長期停滞論も、一時期やや忘れられつつあったのが、今年の世界的な金利低下で復活してきた面があると思います。
正しいのか正しくないのか私は判断付きませんが（たぶん正しいだろうとは思っています。利上げをしたといってもFFレートは結局2％にしかあげられず、バランスシートの縮小も中断を余儀なくされ、史上最低の失業率のもとで利下げに転じましたから。）、いちおうその点についてのご本人の言い分は
"Nobody ever said that the economy was always going to be permanently in a state of deflation. If you go back to the Alvin Hansen [who coined the secular stagnation phrase in 1939 ], he talked about weak recovery. So here we are. We’ve managed to get to 2% growth, not much inflation pressure, 4% unemployment and in order to be there, we’ve got a fed-funds rate eight years into a recovery of 1%. I read that as, on net, something substantial has happened relative to what anybody expected rather than nothing important happened.”
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/secular-stagnation-even-truer-today-larry-summers-says/
先日8周年を迎えたアイドルマスターシンデレラガールズとそのリズムゲームであるスターライトステージ、通称デレステ（先日こちらは4周年を迎えた）であるが、
ここまで読んだら多数の方は夢見りあむの事が思い浮かぶだろうが、今回の話に彼女はあまり関係しない、ということだけは先に言っておく。
あとアイドルマスターシンデレラガールズとは銘打ったがどちらかといえばデレステ側の話である。
というのも最近のデレステ運営は総選挙でボイスが付いたアイドルよりも新人アイドルや総選挙を介さないボイス実装組（所謂サプボ組）を贔屓しすぎているきらいがあり、私はその点が大変気になるのである。
（モバマス側も新人アイドルの出番はちらほらあるが、りあむ以外メダルSRの登場までに留まっている。）
時期としてはバベルイベ以降から新人アイドル達がコミュに参加することが多くなり、ComicCosmicでは久川颯が参加、デレステ4周年曲では新人アイドル4人も参加。
サプボ組である白菊ほたるはシンデレラマスターでソロ曲をもらい、ワンステップスでユニット曲をもらい、3CordのCDでは印象に参加した。
的場梨沙は声が付く前から漫画のメインキャラに抜擢され、当時はボイス未実装だった結城晴とのユニットを応援する面目でシンデレラキャラバンが組まれ、つい先日新曲とボイス実装を引っ提げてちとせと一緒に新作短編アニメに出演した。
その一方で彼女たちの優遇の煽りをモロに受けてしまったアイドル達がいる。
それこそが第7回シンデレラガールズ総選挙によって声が付いた鷹富士茄子、南条光、喜多日菜子の3人である。
彼女たちは前述した新人アイドル達の他に、第6回シンデレラガールズ総選挙によってボイスが付いた5名（藤原肇、関裕実、喜多見柚子、村上巴、荒木比奈）と比較してもボイス実装後1年内での扱いが悪い。
というのも6回組は恋咲以外にも全員alwaysイベに参加したり、SS3Aのリミックスを貰っている上、一部はマスターシーズンズＣＤやしんげき曲への参加やシンデレラマスターのソロ曲を貰っているのである。
それに対し7回組は総選挙曲以外はしんげき曲の参加と南条光のカバー曲のみ。
3人のうち喜多日菜子は第2回総選挙から第7回に至るまで圏内を維持し、未ボイスアイドルの中では初のSSR第一号となった記念すべきアイドルであり、
さらに鷹富士茄子は第1回から第7回まで圏内を維持し続け、モバマス側でイベント上位報酬になれば毎回ボーダーが荒れ狂い、
ボイスが付いた当の第7回でも中間10位未満の状態から総合4位まで上昇するというシンデレラガールズの歴史上で類を見ない偉業を成し遂げた超人気アイドルである。
なのに、彼女たちは一向に新曲がもらえない憂き目に遭っているのである。
「総選挙はボイス付けがメインだから人気は関係ない」という声もあるだろうし、現に8回全部圏外でもモバマスで強SRが実装され続けているアイドルもいる。
ならばこそ、ボイスを付けるだけ付けて結局放置する、という事態だけは避けてもらいたいのである。
ボイス実装はゴールではあるが、それと同時にスタート地点でもある。
我々が望んでいるのは「アイドルにボイスが付く事」ではなく、「ボイスが付いたことによる新曲や新ユニット、イベントによるさらなる担当アイドル達の進展」なのである。
その中でも総選挙でボイスが付いた子達はいわば「ユーザーが今後さらなる進展を強く願ったアイドル」なのであり、その背景にはボイスの有無の大きいデレステの方針が少なからず関わっているのである。
だから、どうか。
そして、どうかこの声が届くのならば、8回目で声が付いたナターリア、遊佐こずえ、佐城雪美、そして夢見りあむにも出番を与え続けてもらいたいし、
今後の総選挙で声が付いた子達も7回組みたいな憂き目に遭わないようにしてほしい。
運営の都合がつく分サプボでボイスを付けた子が動かしやすいのはわかっているけども、ユーザーの声にも耳を傾けてはくれないだろうか。
https://twitter.com/StephanieKelton/status/1164661022646579200
It’s not that times have changed. It’s that this was always wrong.
主にMMT economistsから。（尻馬に乗ってる奴もいるが）
https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1164604703424090112 のリプライ
twitter.com/mtwestra/status/1164778010534244352 おめーもサマーズもMMTから一つ二つアイディアぱくってて乙 Looks like @LHSummers and yourself picked up an idea or two from MMT. Congratulations on finally catching up with reality!
TFW you look down your nose at the economic prowess of a Nobel laureate in economics. ノーベル賞受賞者の腕前を煽る
Your model was/is/always will be a fraudulent misrepresentation.Retire. さっさと引退しろウソツキ
Complete snake oil rhetoric... What a hyperbolic & disingenuous numb skull. Or he's intentionally fear mongering. 完璧にガマの油レベルのインチキレトリック、誇張、腹黒 大げさな恫喝
＠RaulACarrillo （弁護士 lefty lawyer）
Why can't you and the others just recognize that you were wrong for YEARS while others were consistently right? 他の人が一貫して正しい一方で自分が何年も間違っていたと認識すればいいだけなのにそうできないのはなぜよ？
This is intellectual gatekeeping and a disservice to the public. A little integrity would be nice. 国民全体に対する害毒でしょ。
This is you. Spring 2011. When it mattered. @DeanBaker13 was right to call you out. 8年前にディーンベイカーに名指しで間違いを指摘されてたじゃん。
“All progress must come from the maintstream” ハイハイ、進歩は主流派からしか出てこない、出てきちゃいけないっていつものやつね。
shamelessly trying to force decades of heterodox research into a memory hole. 非主流派経済学の何十年もの研究成果に知らんぷりかよ。恥知らずめ。 8年前にフルワイラーに言われわたことを忘れたとは言わせないぞ？
@FadhelKaboub Economics Prof.（Denison university）
Paul, your intellectual dishonesty is mindboggling. おめーの知的誠実性の欠如にはめまいがするわ。こっちが30年も言ってたことを「2019年にジャクソンホール」で発見、だと？ ＃恥知らず。
Umm. I remember when you bashed Stephanie Kelton for saying what you are now saying. Do I need to link to your own words of just a few months ago to spur your memory of your own words of just a few months ago?
おめーが今言ってることはほんの数か月前におめーがバッシングしたケルトンの主張そのものじゃねーか。記憶力に障害があんのか？
赤の他人に対してこれだもん…
可哀想な僕たち私たちは加害者である社会を全体に対して何を言ってもいい！それはささやかな反撃だ！
ってさ…そんなこと言うのが仕返しなの？復讐なの？…それとも本気で社会を変えるつもりなの？…ただのヘイトスピーチなの？
やられた時にやった人にやり返してよ…赤の他人だからね？あなたをいじめた女の子がいたのかもしれないけどね？それは私じゃないの…社会でもないの…
私だって身障だしどちらかというと弱者なの…あなたが自分を弱者だと思っているのと同じく
兄のことも初めは親身になって寄り添ってたよ…助けるつもりで側にいるのにこれだからは女はなんてぐちぐち言われていつまでも優しくできるわけないでしょ…それはその女に言えって話しでしょ…相手に攻撃しながら助けてくれ優しくしろなんておかしいでしょ…関わりたくないでしょ…もう縁切ったけからどうでもいいけどさ
というかあなたの理論でいくと、あなたこそ自分を加害者だと思ってないない被害者ヅラした加害者ってことにならないの？素直に疑問…
これあげるね…
これも
