■東京オリンピックの状況についてギリシャ人に説明しないといけないの

共同研究しているギリシャ人の先生から、ギリシャでされている東京オリンピックに関する報道について真偽を聞かれたので回答したい。

全然ニュースみてないので、わかんないんだけど、大体こんな感じでいい？

[質問1] オリンピックを中止を求めるデモやってるらしいけど、まじ？オリンピックは無観客で、しかも選手は選手村に隔離されてるじゃん！実際にパンデミックも起こってないし、デモする意味わからんけども・・・

[自分の回答] 今オリンピック中止のデモやってる奴らは、極々少数で、400人とか。無視できるレベル。こういう連中はデモをするのが仕事または趣味で、年中なんらかのデモをやってる。普通の人間はオリンピックを中止すべきと思っておらず、好意的に受け止めてるよ。

[質問2] 今日本で完全にワクチン接種が済んでいる人が全人口の7%ってまじ？ｗオリンピックが行われるのがわかっていたのに、何でこんなに接種率が低いの？ｗオリンピックに向けて普通はバシバシ打つもんじゃないの？意味わからんでしょｗ

[自分の回答] 7/23時点では、2回の接種が完了した人が全人口の23%で、1回以上の人は35%やで。まぁ全体から言ったら全然すくないけども。日本は他国に比べて接種が遅れてるんやで。ワクチンの国内での治験を日本向けにローカライズして独自にやったから、承認に時間がかかって、結果として接種も遅れてるんやで～。日本は65歳以上が世界一多くて、それらの人が政治的な基盤を形成してる。そういうわけで、めちゃくちゃ保守的な国だから、遅れてるのはしゃーないやで。

[質問3] 東京での感染者が1300人/日でてて、日本政府には"激震"が走ってるらしいけども、まじ？アテネは人口が東京の1/3だけど、同じくらい感染者数でてるよ？大騒ぎすることなの？

[自分の回答] 激震なんて走っとらん！ｗ以下は俺の個人的な意見だけども：政府関係者は1300人程度なら想定の範囲内だとおもうで～おそらく2500人とか3000人程度までなら想定内じゃないかな？これが東京だけで感染者数が10,000人/日とかいくようになると、ロックダウンとかやるかもな～。ちな日本は未だに強制力のある移動制限とかはしたことないよ！8月のなかばに日本のホリデーシーズンがあって、そこでみんな故郷に帰ったりするから、感染拡大する見込み。本番はオリンピックというよりお盆終わりの9月からや！コロナ先生の次回作にご期待ください！

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問い合わせ原文

Dear Prof. Masuda,

This email may come as a surprise to you, as it is irrelevant to research or fellowships. In Greece we try to understand the situation with the Olympic games in Tokyo and the pandemic, but the reports on Greek media is fuzzy. Once my colleagues found out that I have some communication with a Professor in Tokyo, they asked me if I could possibly contact you and ask you what exactly is the situation there. So, with all the respect to your valuable time, whenever you have some spare time, could you please inform me about the following points that our journalists reporting from Tokyo only confuse us further?

Is it true that people organize demonstrations in the streets to stop the Olympic Games, because they are afraid that the games will spread the coronavirus in Japan? We do not understand this, as the games are held with no spectators (unfortunately) and the athletes are isolated in the Olympic Village, anyway (even with no pandemic).

Is it true that only 7% of the overall population in Japan is vaccinated against the Coronavirus? If yes, how is this possible, knowing that the Olympic Games are going to be held there ?

Today, they said on the news that 1300 new infections have been reported in Tokyo and that caused some "vibrations" to the government. Is this number significant for the Japanese people? In Athens alone (that is only 5 million people, 3 times less than Tokyo) we count that many infections every day for the past month.

As you can see, everything that is reported from Tokyo is unclear and contradicting: demonstrations for the cancellation of the Games due to the pandemic, vaccination level, infection rate. Today I heard on out national radio straight from the head of our Olympic Team that everything is calm and under absolute control in the Games. So could you please shed some light to all this, please? Again, if you are busy I will understand if you do not reply, as this is just curiosity and not urgent at all.

以下増田の解答：

[Your question1]

Is it true that people organize demonstrations in the streets to stop the Olympic Games, because they are afraid that the games will spread the coronavirus in Japan? We do not understand this, as the games are held with no spectators (unfortunately) and the athletes are isolated in the Olympic Village, anyway (even with no pandemic).

[My opinion]

The people who is engaging the demonstrations are very few such as 400 and they could be ignored. These people always participate in the demonstrations as a work or just enjoying their free time. They don't have any political ideology. General people is enjoying the Olympic Games as usual on TV.

[Your question2]

Is it true that only 7% of the overall population in Japan is vaccinated against the Coronavirus? If yes, how is this possible, knowing that the Olympic Games are going to be held there ?

[My opinion]

As of July 23, 23% of the population had received two doses of the vaccine, and 35% had received at least once. Japan is behind other countries in terms of vaccination. Japan government took a long time to approve the vaccine produced outside of Japan, and as a result, the vaccination has been delayed. Japan has the largest rate of people over 65 in the world; about 30% is over 65 years old. These people form the political base of the country, so it's no wonder it's so conservative.

[Your question3]

Today, they said on the news that 1300 new infections have been reported in Tokyo and that caused some "vibrations" to the government. Is this number significant for the Japanese people? In Athens alone (that is only 5 million people, 3 times less than Tokyo) we count that many infections every day for the past month.

[My opinion]

The following is my personal opinion: I think 1,300 new infections in Tokyo in a day is not big deal for the government. Maybe 2,500 or 3,000 is still within the expectation. If the new infections in Tokyo become over massive amount such as 10,000/day, we might need to go into a lock-down. Japan has yet to impose any enforceable movement restrictions. Japan has a holiday week in mid-August, and people go back to their hometowns, so the infection is expected to spread.

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